Aalborg vs Herning Blue Fox prediction
Chance to win · 13% and 72% in regulation
Steinbergs K.Started3-1-0
Fecers J.StartedSV 87.6% · GAA 4.00 · 6-3-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Full game
- 1X2WonHerningodds up 1.45Confidence 72%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.50Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonHerning -1.5odds up 1.64Confidence 65%
- Banker of the day: Winner (incl. OT)WonHerningodds up 1.27Confidence 93%
- Double chanceWonHerning or drawodds up 1.15Confidence 86%
- Draw no betWonHerningodds up 1.21Confidence 84%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.12Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonHerningodds up 1.99Confidence 53%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.96Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Aalborg 1–4
Herning Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min1–37%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–112%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (7%), 2-5 (6%), 2-4 (5%)
Season so far
This seasonAalborg
Herning Blue Fox
Head-to-head
Aalborg 1–4
Herning - Sep 22, 2026: Herning Blue Fox 2, Aalborg 3, after overtime.
- Mar 1, 2026: Aalborg 3, Herning Blue Fox 4.
- Jan 25, 2026: Aalborg 0, Herning Blue Fox 2.
- Dec 22, 2025: Herning Blue Fox 4, Aalborg 1.
- Dec 2, 2025: Herning Blue Fox 2, Aalborg 1, after overtime.
Last five games
Aalborg
2-3-0 - Loss, 3–5 against Rodovre Mighty Bulls, Oct 16. Odds: Aalborg 1.46, Rodovre 5.33.
- Loss, 1–3 at Herlev, Oct 12. Odds: Herlev 1.83, Aalborg 3.48.
- Win, 3–1 at Rodovre Mighty Bulls, Oct 11.
- Loss, 0–1 against Rungsted, Oct 4.
- Win, 7–4 at Rungsted, Oct 2.
Herning
4-1-0 - Win, 6–3 against Odense Bulldogs, Oct 16. Odds: Herning 1.30, Odense 7.51.
- Win, 4–3 against Fribourg, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: Herning 5.40, Fribourg 1.41.
- Win, 6–0 at Frederikshavn, Oct 9. Odds: Frederikshavn 4.60, Herning 1.44.
- Loss, 0–3 at Kolner, Oct 7.
- Win, 3–1 at Sonderjyske Ishockey, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 13:40 Goal Herning Blue Fox: Soderbom M. 0-1
2nd period1-0
- 06:06 Goal PPG Aalborg: Craighead D. assists: Jakobsen J., Hjorth E. 1-1
3rd period0-2
- 09:53 Goal Herning Blue Fox: Larsen M. assists: Poulsen M., Cibulskis O. 1-2
- 19:24 Goal ENG Herning Blue Fox: O'Neil K. assists: Poulsen M. 1-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Herning Blue Fox coming into this game.
- In goal: Steinbergs K. for Aalborg (3-1-0 in the last 4 starts), Fecers J. for Herning Blue Fox (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Herning Blue Fox.
- −1.5 goals away — Herning Blue Fox averaged 5.3 at home and 3.8 away this season.
- 4.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (AAL) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (HBF) | 1.50 | 1.50 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap AAL | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Metal Ligaen standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Herning Blue Fox |
17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 1.324 | 78 | 30 | +48 |
| 2 |  Frederikshavn |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 60 | 49 | +11 |
| 3 |  Esbjerg |
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 28 | .824 | 52 | 53 | −1 |
| 4 |  Sonderjyske Ishockey |
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 53 | −9 |
| 5 |  Odense Bulldogs |
17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .676 | 49 | 47 | +2 |
| 6 |  Herlev |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 20 | .625 | 46 | 48 | −2 |
| 7 |  Rungsted |
17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 18 | .529 | 44 | 57 | −13 |
| 8 |  Rodovre Mighty Bulls |
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 16 | .471 | 40 | 63 | −23 |
| 9 | Aalborg |
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 15 | .469 | 36 | 49 | −13 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Aalborg host Herning Blue Fox in the Metal Ligaen on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.