Acroni Jesenice vs Kitzbuhel prediction
Chance to win · 50% and 30% in regulation
Dukaric J.Surprise start2-2-0
Gratzer M.Started6-3-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonJeseniceodds up 1.67Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds up 1.32Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonKitzbuhel +2.51.35Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonJeseniceodds up 1.40Confidence 62%
- Double chanceWonJesenice or drawodds down 1.29Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonJesenice1.38Confidence 64%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.07Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonJeseniceodds up 2.13Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.65Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Jesenice 3–2
Kitzbuhel Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min3–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-2 (4%), 3-1 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonAcroni Jesenice
Kitzbuhel
Head-to-head
Jesenice 2–3
Kitzbuhel - Jan 31, 2026: Acroni Jesenice 5, Kitzbuhel 4.
- Nov 15, 2025: Kitzbuhel 6, Acroni Jesenice 3.
- Oct 10, 2025: Acroni Jesenice 3, Kitzbuhel 4, after overtime.
- Mar 4, 2025: Acroni Jesenice 0, Kitzbuhel 3.
- Feb 20, 2025: Kitzbuhel 2, Acroni Jesenice 3, after a shootout.
Last five games
Jesenice
4-1-0 - Loss, 3–4 at Eisbaren, Oct 13. Odds: Zeller Eisbaren 2.07, Jesenice 2.40.
- Win, 3–0 against Cortina, Oct 10. Odds: Jesenice 1.80, Cortina 3.25.
- Win, 5–3 at Vipiteno, Oct 8.
- Win, 5–2 against Klagenfurt II, Oct 3.
- Win, 5–1 against Salzburg 2, Sep 29.
Kitzbuhel
3-1-1 - Win, 8–2 at Salzburg 2, Oct 10. Odds: Salzburg II 1.80, Kitzbuhel 3.20.
- Win, 3–2 against KHL Sisak, Oct 8.
- Loss, 1–6 at Eisbaren, Oct 3.
- Win, 8–3 against Vipiteno, Oct 1.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Gherdeina, after a shootout, Sep 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 01:38 Goal Acroni Jesenice: Leben Z. assists: Wyatt J., Baloh D. 1-0
2nd period1-0
- 06:40 Goal SHG Acroni Jesenice: Sabolic R. assists: Kapel R. 2-0
3rd period1-1
- 03:25 Goal PPG Kitzbuhel: Livsics D. assists: Stahlberg E., Podlipnik M. 2-1
- 19:06 Goal ENG Acroni Jesenice: Sturm J. 3-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Surprise in goal: Dukaric J. started for Acroni Jesenice, not Ulcar M..
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Kitzbuhel, 1 for Acroni Jesenice.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Kitzbuhel.
- +1.8 goals at home — Acroni Jesenice averaged 5.0 at home and 3.3 away this season.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Acroni Jesenice.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ACR) | 1.71 | 1.71 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.67 | 4.67 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KIT) | 3.31 | 3.31 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap ACR | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Alps Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Acroni Jesenice |
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 1.125 | 59 | 30 | +29 |
| 2 |  Asiago |
16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 1.063 | 72 | 55 | +17 |
| 3 |  Eisbaren |
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 1.154 | 48 | 32 | +16 |
| 4 |  Ritten |
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 51 | 34 | +17 |
| 5 | Kitzbuhel |
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 24 | .800 | 60 | 50 | +10 |
| 6 |  Merano |
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 19 | .731 | 30 | 37 | −7 |
| 7 |  Salzburg 2 |
15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 18 | .600 | 34 | 54 | −20 |
| 8 |  KHL Sisak |
13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .654 | 44 | 36 | +8 |
| 9 |  Gherdeina |
13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 40 | 50 | −10 |
| 10 |  Unterland |
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15 | .536 | 42 | 51 | −9 |
| 11 |  Vipiteno |
12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 14 | .583 | 42 | 47 | −5 |
| 12 |  Klagenfurt II |
13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 10 | .385 | 34 | 57 | −23 |
| 13 |  Cortina |
13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .308 | 24 | 47 | −23 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Acroni Jesenice host Kitzbuhel in the Alps Hockey League on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.