Acroni Jesenice vs Ritten prediction
Chance to win · 44% and 34% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostJeseniceodds down 2.46Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.42Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostJesenice +1.5odds down 1.36Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostJeseniceodds up 1.92Confidence 57%
- Double chanceLostJesenice or drawodds down 1.57Confidence 68%
- Draw no betLostJeseniceodds down 1.96Confidence 59%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.09Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostJeseniceodds down 2.77Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min1–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–116%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 5-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Feb 19, 2026: Ritten 6, Acroni Jesenice 0.
- Feb 17, 2026: Acroni Jesenice 2, Ritten 3.
- Dec 22, 2025: Ritten 2, Acroni Jesenice 4.
- Nov 29, 2025: Acroni Jesenice 6, Ritten 5.
- Oct 7, 2025: Ritten 3, Acroni Jesenice 0.
Last five games
- Win, 4–1 at Merano, Oct 22. Odds: Merano 3.50, Jesenice 1.72.
- Loss, 2–4 against Salzburg 2, Oct 20. Odds: Jesenice 1.36, Salzburg II 4.90.
- Win, 4–1 at Unterland, Oct 17. Odds: Unterland 3.90, Jesenice 1.45.
- Win, 3–1 against Kitzbuhel, Oct 15. Odds: Jesenice 1.71, Kitzbuhel 3.31.
- Loss, 3–4 at Eisbaren, Oct 13. Odds: Zeller Eisbaren 2.07, Jesenice 2.40.
- Win, 3–2 at KHL Sisak, Oct 23. Odds: Sisak 2.20, Ritten 2.45.
- Win, 4–3 against Asiago, after a shootout, Oct 18. Odds: Ritten 1.75, Asiago 2.90.
- Win, 3–0 at Salzburg 2, Oct 13. Odds: Salzburg II 4.14, Ritten 1.51.
- Win, 4–1 at Merano, Oct 10. Odds: Merano 3.20, Ritten 1.82.
- Win, 2–1 against Gherdeina, Oct 8.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 19:32 Goal SHG Ritten: Capannelli A. 0-1
2nd period1-0
- 18:42 Goal SHG Acroni Jesenice: Mlakar T. assists: Svetina E. 1-1
3rd period0-2
- 16:47 Goal Ritten: Miceli A. assists: Schives D. 1-2
- 19:41 Goal ENG Ritten: Markkula M. assists: Capannelli A., Marzolini M. 1-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Ritten, who played yesterday.
- 7-game winning streak for Ritten coming into this game.
- In goal: Dukaric J. for Acroni Jesenice (3-3-0 in the last 6 starts), Vallini G. for Ritten (9-1-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 5-1-0 at home for Acroni Jesenice this season.
- 5-1-0 away for Ritten this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ACR) | 2.45 | 2.40 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.15 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (RIT) | 2.22 | 2.20 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap ACR | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Alps Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 1.125 | 59 | 30 | +29 | |
| 2 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 1.063 | 72 | 55 | +17 | |
| 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 1.154 | 48 | 32 | +16 | |
| 4 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 51 | 34 | +17 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 24 | .800 | 60 | 50 | +10 | |
| 6 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 19 | .731 | 30 | 37 | −7 | |
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 18 | .600 | 34 | 54 | −20 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .654 | 44 | 36 | +8 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 40 | 50 | −10 | |
| 10 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15 | .536 | 42 | 51 | −9 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 14 | .583 | 42 | 47 | −5 | |
| 12 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 10 | .385 | 34 | 57 | −23 | |
| 13 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .308 | 24 | 47 | −23 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Acroni Jesenice host Ritten in the Alps Hockey League on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.