Acroni Jesenice vs Salzburg 2 prediction
Chance to win · 73% and 12% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Full game
- 1X2LostJeseniceodds down 1.66Confidence 71%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.29Confidence 72%
- HandicapLostJesenice -1.5odds down 2.02Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostJeseniceodds down 1.39Confidence 81%
- Banker of the day: Double chanceLostJesenice or drawodds down 1.29Confidence 95%
- Draw no betLostJeseniceodds down 1.38Confidence 80%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.07Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonJeseniceodds down 1.83Confidence 53%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.82Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–47%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–011%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (6%), 5-1 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Sep 29, 2026: Acroni Jesenice 5, Salzburg 2 1.
- Dec 16, 2025: Salzburg 2 3, Acroni Jesenice 1.
- Nov 18, 2025: Salzburg 2 6, Acroni Jesenice 2.
- Oct 23, 2025: Acroni Jesenice 0, Salzburg 2 3.
- Feb 1, 2025: Acroni Jesenice 4, Salzburg 2 1.
Last five games
- Win, 4–1 at Unterland, Oct 17. Odds: Unterland 3.90, Jesenice 1.45.
- Win, 3–1 against Kitzbuhel, Oct 15. Odds: Jesenice 1.71, Kitzbuhel 3.31.
- Loss, 3–4 at Eisbaren, Oct 13. Odds: Zeller Eisbaren 2.07, Jesenice 2.40.
- Win, 3–0 against Cortina, Oct 10. Odds: Jesenice 1.80, Cortina 3.25.
- Win, 5–3 at Vipiteno, Oct 8.
- Loss, 0–1 against Eisbaren, Oct 15. Odds: Salzburg II 4.84, Zeller Eisbaren 1.43.
- Loss, 0–3 against Ritten, Oct 13. Odds: Salzburg II 4.14, Ritten 1.51.
- Loss, 2–8 against Kitzbuhel, Oct 10. Odds: Salzburg II 1.80, Kitzbuhel 3.20.
- Win, 3–1 at Cortina, Oct 8.
- Loss, 1–5 at Ritten, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 01:27 Goal Acroni Jesenice: Sturm J. assists: Urukalo Z., Zupancic A. 1-0
2nd period1-1
- 05:53 Goal Salzburg 2: Baumann F. assists: Macijevskis A., Oberhauser P. 1-1
- 18:58 Goal Acroni Jesenice: Sabolic R. assists: Svetina E., Magovac A. 2-1
3rd period0-3
- 04:23 Goal SHG Salzburg 2: Lussnig N. 2-2
- 07:11 Goal Salzburg 2: Berzins E. assists: Hengelmuller B., Koschek N. 2-3
- 19:57 Goal ENG Salzburg 2: Lanzinger F. 2-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Salzburg 2 coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Acroni Jesenice dropped from 1.43 to 1.18 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Salzburg 2, 2 for Acroni Jesenice.
- 5-0-0 at home for Acroni Jesenice this season.
- 1-4-0 away for Salzburg 2 this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ACR) | 1.36 | 1.36 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.35 | 4.35 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SAL) | 4.90 | 4.90 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap ACR | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Alps Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 1.125 | 59 | 30 | +29 | |
| 2 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 1.063 | 72 | 55 | +17 | |
| 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 1.154 | 48 | 32 | +16 | |
| 4 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 51 | 34 | +17 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 24 | .800 | 60 | 50 | +10 | |
| 6 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 19 | .731 | 30 | 37 | −7 | |
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 18 | .600 | 34 | 54 | −20 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .654 | 44 | 36 | +8 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 40 | 50 | −10 | |
| 10 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15 | .536 | 42 | 51 | −9 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 14 | .583 | 42 | 47 | −5 | |
| 12 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 10 | .385 | 34 | 57 | −23 | |
| 13 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .308 | 24 | 47 | −23 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Acroni Jesenice host Salzburg 2 in the Alps Hockey League on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.