AIK vs Ostersund prediction
Chance to win · 58% and 21% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Full game
- 1X2WonAIKodds down 1.47Confidence 60%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.43Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonOstersund +2.5odds up 1.55Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonAIKodds down 1.28Confidence 70%
- Double chanceWonAIK or drawodds down 1.16Confidence 80%
- Draw no betWonAIKodds down 1.22Confidence 75%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.12Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonAIKodds down 2.01Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.22Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min5–45%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period2–020%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 1-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-2 (5%), 3-2 (4%), 5-3 (2%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 21, 2026: Ostersund 2, AIK 1, after a shootout.
- Mar 4, 2026: AIK 4, Ostersund 3, after overtime.
- Jan 7, 2026: Ostersund 2, AIK 6.
- Nov 21, 2025: Ostersund 4, AIK 5, after a shootout.
- Oct 22, 2025: AIK 3, Ostersund 4.
Last five games
- Win, 7–2 against BIK Karlskoga, Oct 9. Odds: AIK 1.64, Karlskoga 4.10.
- Win, 4–3 at Oskarshamn, Oct 7.
- Win, 5–3 at Nybro, Oct 2.
- Win, 6–2 against Visby/Roma, Sep 30.
- Win, 2–1 against Mora, Sep 27.
- Loss, 0–1 against MODO, Oct 9. Odds: Ostersund 3.80, MoDo 1.78.
- Win, 1–0 at Vasteras, Oct 7.
- Loss, 3–5 at Södertälje, Oct 2.
- Win, 5–4 against Kalmar, after overtime, Sep 30.
- Win, 4–3 at Visby/Roma, after overtime, Sep 27.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 04:47 Goal AIK: Pooley S. assists: Pethrus W., Ljungman D. 1-0
- 11:59 Goal AIK: Vesel T. assists: Theocharidis T. 2-0
2nd period0-3
- 13:30 Goal Ostersund: Klint A. assists: Dahlqvist A., Flood E. 2-1
- 15:07 Goal PPG Ostersund: Ljungkrantz A. assists: Budgell B., Semjonovs M. 2-2
- 18:07 Goal Ostersund: Nijhoff L. assists: Dahlqvist A., Budgell B. 2-3
3rd period3-1
- 04:53 Goal Ostersund: Nijhoff L. assists: Arvidsson K., Sjoberg A. 2-4
- 10:06 Goal AIK: Rolston R. assists: Nord O., Pethrus W. 3-4
- 12:27 Goal AIK: Johansson O. assists: Kopac B., Theocharidis T. 4-4
- 17:40 Goal AIK: Johansson O. assists: Gronlund A., Isen E. 5-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 8-game winning streak for AIK coming into this game.
- In goal: Enroth J. for AIK (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Hedman H. for Ostersund (4-0-1 in the last 5 starts).
- 4-1-0 at home for AIK this season.
- Goal differential gap of 1.9 per game — AIK +1.2, Ostersund −0.7 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for AIK.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (AIK) | 1.42 | 1.42 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.07 | 5.07 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (OST) | 5.60 | 5.60 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap AIK | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Hockey Allsvenskan standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 1.176 | 65 | 44 | +21 | |
| 2 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 1.147 | 73 | 40 | +33 | |
| 3 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 1.000 | 57 | 45 | +12 | |
| 4 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33 | .971 | 49 | 39 | +10 | |
| 5 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 31 | .912 | 50 | 39 | +11 | |
| 6 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .806 | 69 | 61 | +8 | |
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 24 | .706 | 48 | 41 | +7 | |
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .676 | 43 | 53 | −10 | |
| 9 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 44 | 55 | −11 | |
| 10 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22 | .647 | 44 | 46 | −2 | |
| 11 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | .618 | 46 | 55 | −9 | |
| 12 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 13 | .406 | 43 | 61 | −18 | |
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 13 | .382 | 33 | 54 | −21 | |
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 12 | .353 | 36 | 67 | −31 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
AIK host Ostersund in the Hockey Allsvenskan on Monday, October 12, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.