AIK vs Vasteras prediction
Chance to win · 64% and 17% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Full game
- 1X2LostAIKodds down 1.42Confidence 66%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.42Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostAIK -1.5odds down 1.75Confidence 57%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonAIKodds up 1.22Confidence 77%
- Double chanceWonAIK or drawodds up 1.13Confidence 83%
- Banker of the day: Draw no betPushAIK1.18Confidence 93%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.12Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonAIKodds down 1.94Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.51.23Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min5–56%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period2–120%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 5 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (5%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Feb 21, 2026: Vasteras 5, AIK 1.
- Dec 7, 2025: AIK 4, Vasteras 0.
- Oct 17, 2025: Vasteras 2, AIK 3.
- Sep 19, 2025: AIK 2, Vasteras 1.
- Feb 18, 2025: AIK 1, Vasteras 0.
Last five games
- Win, 4–2 at Almtuna, Oct 14. Odds: Almtuna 4.44, AIK 1.60.
- Win, 5–4 against Ostersund, Oct 12. Odds: AIK 1.42, Ostersund 5.60.
- Win, 7–2 against BIK Karlskoga, Oct 9. Odds: AIK 1.64, Karlskoga 4.10.
- Win, 4–3 at Oskarshamn, Oct 7.
- Win, 5–3 at Nybro, Oct 2.
- Loss, 2–6 against MODO, Oct 14. Odds: Vasteras 3.62, MoDo 1.80.
- Loss, 1–4 at Visby/Roma, Oct 11.
- Win, 2–0 against Nybro, Oct 9. Odds: Vasteras 2.08, Nybro 2.95.
- Loss, 0–1 against Ostersund, Oct 7.
- Win, 5–1 against Oskarshamn, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 04:21 Goal PPG AIK: Theocharidis T. 1-0
- 05:03 Goal PPG AIK: Nord O. assists: Vesel T., Pethrus W. 2-0
- 15:20 Goal Vasteras: Olsson A. assists: Gunnarsson D., Engstrom L. 2-1
2nd period2-0
- 08:26 Goal AIK: Lennartsson V. assists: Magnusson O. 3-1
- 19:48 Goal AIK: Ljungman D. assists: Pethrus W. 4-1
3rd period1-4
- 01:13 Goal AIK: Rudslatt R. assists: Pooley S. 5-1
- 06:29 Goal PPG Vasteras: Johansson F. assists: Hellstrom F., Jansson Lorek J. 5-2
- 12:26 Goal Vasteras: Falk S. assists: Bertals M. 5-3
- 12:57 Goal Vasteras: Pantzare V. assists: Arvedson A., Birgersson O. 5-4
- 18:48 Goal Vasteras: Zetterberg L. assists: Jansson Lorek J. 5-5
Overtime1-0
- 01:00 Goal PPG AIK: Nord O. assists: Pooley S., Theocharidis T. 6-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 10+ straight wins for AIK coming into this game.
- In goal: Enroth J. for AIK (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Oschgan B. for Vasteras (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 5-1-0 at home for AIK this season.
- Goal differential gap of 2.9 per game — AIK +2.2, Vasteras −0.7 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for AIK.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (AIK) | 1.42 | 1.42 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.09 | 5.09 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (VAS) | 5.63 | 5.63 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap AIK | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Hockey Allsvenskan standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 1.176 | 65 | 44 | +21 | |
| 2 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 1.147 | 73 | 40 | +33 | |
| 3 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 1.000 | 57 | 45 | +12 | |
| 4 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 33 | .971 | 49 | 39 | +10 | |
| 5 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 31 | .912 | 50 | 39 | +11 | |
| 6 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .806 | 69 | 61 | +8 | |
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 24 | .706 | 48 | 41 | +7 | |
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .676 | 43 | 53 | −10 | |
| 9 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 44 | 55 | −11 | |
| 10 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22 | .647 | 44 | 46 | −2 | |
| 11 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | .618 | 46 | 55 | −9 | |
| 12 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 13 | .406 | 43 | 61 | −18 | |
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 13 | .382 | 33 | 54 | −21 | |
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 12 | .353 | 36 | 67 | −31 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
AIK host Vasteras in the Hockey Allsvenskan on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.