Air Force Falcons vs Army Black Knights prediction
Chance to win · 33% and 46% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonArmy2.35Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.35Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostAir Force +1.5odds down 1.32Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonArmy1.85Confidence 59%
- Double chanceWonArmy or drawodds down 1.54Confidence 69%
- Draw no betWonArmy1.82Confidence 61%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.11Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonArmyodds down 2.77Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Air Force 2–3
Army Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period0–317%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-1, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonAir Force Falcons
Army Black Knights
Head-to-head
Air Force 3–2
Army - Nov 7, 2026: Air Force Falcons 2, Army Black Knights 0.
- Feb 21, 2026: Air Force Falcons 0, Army Black Knights 1, after a shootout.
- Feb 20, 2026: Air Force Falcons 3, Army Black Knights 4.
- Nov 22, 2025: Army Black Knights 2, Air Force Falcons 3, after overtime.
- Nov 21, 2025: Army Black Knights 3, Air Force Falcons 6.
Last five games
Air Force
1-4-0 - Loss, 2–3 at Robert Morris, Oct 31. Odds: Robert Morris 2.55, Air Force 2.18.
- Win, 3–2 at Robert Morris, Oct 30. Odds: Robert Morris 2.55, Air Force 2.20.
- Loss, 0–4 against Colorado College Tigers, Oct 24. Odds: Air Force 5.60, Colorado Coll. 1.40.
- Loss, 2–6 at Colorado College Tigers, Oct 23. Odds: Colorado Coll. 1.38, Air Force 5.10.
- Loss, 4–7 against Lindenwood Lions, Oct 16. Odds: Air Force 1.98, Lindenwood 2.55.
Army
5-0-0 - Win, 2–0 against RIT Tigers, Oct 31. Odds: Army 2.02, RIT 2.75.
- Win, 2–0 against RIT Tigers, Oct 30. Odds: Army 2.08, RIT 2.70.
- Win, 4–3 at Quinnipiac Bobcats, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Quinnipiac 1.16, Army 11.50.
- Win, 3–1 at Holy Cross Crusaders, Oct 18.
- Win, 5–2 at Holy Cross Crusaders, Oct 17. Odds: Holy Cross 1.62, Army 3.60.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Army Black Knights coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Air Force Falcons.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Air Force Falcons.
- 4.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 8th vs 6th in the NCAA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (AFF) | 2.35 | 2.35 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.90 | 3.90 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ABK) | 2.40 | 2.40 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap AFF | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Atlantic Hockey
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  RIT Tigers |
30 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 96 | 1.600 | 0 |
| 2 |  Niagara Purple Eagles |
30 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 94 | 1.567 | 0 |
| 3 | American International | 32 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 1.641 | 0 |
| 4 |  Sacred Heart Pioneers |
30 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 92 | 1.533 | 0 |
| 5 |  Canisius Golden Griffins |
29 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 1.293 | 0 |
| 6 | Army Black Knights |
30 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 81 | 1.350 | 0 |
| 7 |  Holy Cross Crusaders |
30 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 71 | 1.183 | 0 |
| 8 | Air Force Falcons |
32 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 1.375 | 0 |
| 9 |  Bentley Falcons |
29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 69 | 1.190 | 0 |
| 10 | Mercyhurst Lakers | 30 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 1.283 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Air Force Falcons host Army Black Knights in the NCAA on Friday, November 6, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.