Air Force Falcons vs Army Black Knights prediction
Chance to win · 28% and 51% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2LostArmyodds down 2.30Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.33Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonAir Force +1.5odds down 1.37Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostArmyodds up 1.70Confidence 63%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostArmy or drawodds up 1.44Confidence 72%
- Draw no betLostArmyodds up 1.65Confidence 66%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds down 1.10Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostArmyodds up 2.65Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min2–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period1–018%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-1, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Nov 6, 2026: Air Force Falcons 1, Army Black Knights 4.
- Feb 21, 2026: Air Force Falcons 0, Army Black Knights 1, after a shootout.
- Feb 20, 2026: Air Force Falcons 3, Army Black Knights 4.
- Nov 22, 2025: Army Black Knights 2, Air Force Falcons 3, after overtime.
- Nov 21, 2025: Army Black Knights 3, Air Force Falcons 6.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–4 against Army Black Knights, Nov 6. Odds: Air Force 2.35, Army 2.40.
- Loss, 2–3 at Robert Morris, Oct 31. Odds: Robert Morris 2.55, Air Force 2.18.
- Win, 3–2 at Robert Morris, Oct 30. Odds: Robert Morris 2.55, Air Force 2.20.
- Loss, 0–4 against Colorado College Tigers, Oct 24. Odds: Air Force 5.60, Colorado Coll. 1.40.
- Loss, 2–6 at Colorado College Tigers, Oct 23. Odds: Colorado Coll. 1.38, Air Force 5.10.
- Win, 4–1 at Air Force Falcons, Nov 6. Odds: Air Force 2.35, Army 2.40.
- Win, 2–0 against RIT Tigers, Oct 31. Odds: Army 2.02, RIT 2.75.
- Win, 2–0 against RIT Tigers, Oct 30. Odds: Army 2.08, RIT 2.70.
- Win, 4–3 at Quinnipiac Bobcats, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Quinnipiac 1.16, Army 11.50.
- Win, 3–1 at Holy Cross Crusaders, Oct 18.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Air Force Falcons and Army Black Knights played yesterday.
- 6-game winning streak for Army Black Knights coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Army Black Knights.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Air Force Falcons.
- 5.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (AFF) | 2.55 | 2.45 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 3.90 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (ABK) | 2.10 | 2.30 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap AFF | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Atlantic Hockey
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 96 | 1.600 | 0 | |
| 2 | 30 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 94 | 1.567 | 0 | |
| 3 | American International | 32 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 1.641 | 0 |
| 4 | 30 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 92 | 1.533 | 0 | |
| 5 | 29 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 1.293 | 0 | |
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 81 | 1.350 | 0 | |
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 71 | 1.183 | 0 | |
| 8 | 32 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 1.375 | 0 | |
| 9 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 69 | 1.190 | 0 | |
| 10 | Mercyhurst Lakers | 30 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 1.283 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Air Force Falcons host Army Black Knights in the NCAA on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.