Air Force Falcons vs Lindenwood Lions prediction
Chance to win · 56% and 25% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Full game
- 1X2WonAir Forceodds down 2.50Confidence 52%
- Over/UnderWonO5.5odds down 2.02Confidence 56%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonAir Force +1.51.31Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonAir Forceodds down 1.90Confidence 56%
- Double chanceWonAir Force or drawodds down 1.50Confidence 65%
- Draw no betWonAir Forceodds down 1.90Confidence 56%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.09Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonAir Forceodds down 2.92Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 2.00Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 2 games; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Air Force 5–2
Lindenwood Score details
- Correct scoreWon5–2After 60 min5–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-2
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 5-2 (4%), 4-2 (4%), 5-1 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonAir Force Falcons
Lindenwood Lions
Head-to-head
Air Force 2–1
Lindenwood - Oct 16, 2026: Air Force Falcons 4, Lindenwood Lions 7.
- Oct 20, 2024: Air Force Falcons 2, Lindenwood Lions 1.
- Oct 18, 2024: Air Force Falcons 3, Lindenwood Lions 2.
Last five games
Air Force
4-1-0 - Loss, 2–4 at St. Thomas Tommies, Oct 10. Odds: St. Thomas 1.47, Air Force 5.30.
- Win, 5–1 at St. Thomas Tommies, Oct 9.
- Win, 5–2 at Robert Morris, Mar 8.
- Win, 3–2 at Robert Morris, after overtime, Mar 6.
- Win, 2–0 at Bentley Falcons, Feb 28.
Lindenwood
2-3-0 - Loss, 3–4 against Lake Superior State Lakers, Oct 10.
- Loss, 3–4 against Lake Superior State Lakers, Oct 9.
- Win, 7–4 against Lake Superior State Lakers, Oct 8.
- Win, 9–6 against Arizona State Sun Devils, Oct 3.
- Loss, 0–5 against Arizona State Sun Devils, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Air Force Falcons.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Air Force Falcons.
- 6.3 goals per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (AFF) | 2.42 | 2.42 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.70 | 3.70 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (LIN) | 2.27 | 2.27 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap AFF | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Atlantic Hockey
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  RIT Tigers |
30 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 96 | 1.600 | 0 |
| 2 |  Niagara Purple Eagles |
30 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 94 | 1.567 | 0 |
| 3 | American International | 32 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 1.641 | 0 |
| 4 |  Sacred Heart Pioneers |
30 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 92 | 1.533 | 0 |
| 5 |  Canisius Golden Griffins |
29 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 1.293 | 0 |
| 6 |  Army Black Knights |
30 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 81 | 1.350 | 0 |
| 7 |  Holy Cross Crusaders |
30 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 71 | 1.183 | 0 |
| 8 | Air Force Falcons |
32 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 1.375 | 0 |
| 9 |  Bentley Falcons |
29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 69 | 1.190 | 0 |
| 10 | Mercyhurst Lakers | 30 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 1.283 | 0 |
NCAA · Independents
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Stonehill |
13 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 54 | 2.077 | 0 |
| 2 |  Alaska Nanooks |
28 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 75 | 1.339 | 0 |
| 3 |  Arizona State Sun Devils |
31 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 82 | 1.323 | 0 |
| 4 |  Long Island Sharks |
26 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 81 | 1.558 | 0 |
| 5 | Lindenwood Lions |
24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 80 | 1.667 | 0 |
| 6 |  Alaska Anchorage |
20 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 37 | .925 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Air Force Falcons host Lindenwood Lions in the NCAA on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.