Air Force Falcons vs Lindenwood Lions prediction
Chance to win · 62% and 21% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostAir Force2.10Confidence 58%
- Over/UnderWonO5.51.65Confidence 66%
- HandicapLostAir Force -1.52.72Confidence 53%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostAir Force1.67Confidence 62%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostAir Force or draw1.39Confidence 70%
- Draw no betLostAir Force1.62Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostAir Force2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.78Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 3 games; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Air Force 5–2
Lindenwood Score details
- Correct scoreLost5–2After 60 min4–75%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–29%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-2
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%), 5-1 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonAir Force Falcons
Lindenwood Lions
Head-to-head
Air Force 3–0
Lindenwood - Oct 15, 2026: Air Force Falcons 5, Lindenwood Lions 2.
- Oct 20, 2024: Air Force Falcons 2, Lindenwood Lions 1.
- Oct 18, 2024: Air Force Falcons 3, Lindenwood Lions 2.
Last five games
Air Force
4-1-0 - Win, 5–2 against Lindenwood Lions, Oct 15. Odds: Air Force 2.42, Lindenwood 2.27.
- Loss, 2–4 at St. Thomas Tommies, Oct 10. Odds: St. Thomas 1.47, Air Force 5.30.
- Win, 5–1 at St. Thomas Tommies, Oct 9.
- Win, 5–2 at Robert Morris, Mar 8.
- Win, 3–2 at Robert Morris, after overtime, Mar 6.
Lindenwood
2-3-0 - Loss, 2–5 at Air Force Falcons, Oct 15. Odds: Air Force 2.42, Lindenwood 2.27.
- Loss, 3–4 against Lake Superior State Lakers, Oct 10.
- Loss, 3–4 against Lake Superior State Lakers, Oct 9.
- Win, 7–4 against Lake Superior State Lakers, Oct 8.
- Win, 9–6 against Arizona State Sun Devils, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Air Force Falcons and Lindenwood Lions played yesterday.
- 3-game losing streak for Lindenwood Lions coming into this game.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Air Force Falcons.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Air Force Falcons.
- 5.0 goals per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (AFF) | 1.98 | 1.98 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.65 | 3.65 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (LIN) | 2.55 | 2.55 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap AFF | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Atlantic Hockey
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  RIT Tigers |
30 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 96 | 1.600 | 0 |
| 2 |  Niagara Purple Eagles |
30 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 94 | 1.567 | 0 |
| 3 | American International | 32 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 1.641 | 0 |
| 4 |  Sacred Heart Pioneers |
30 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 92 | 1.533 | 0 |
| 5 |  Canisius Golden Griffins |
29 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 1.293 | 0 |
| 6 |  Army Black Knights |
30 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 81 | 1.350 | 0 |
| 7 |  Holy Cross Crusaders |
30 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 71 | 1.183 | 0 |
| 8 | Air Force Falcons |
32 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 1.375 | 0 |
| 9 |  Bentley Falcons |
29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 69 | 1.190 | 0 |
| 10 | Mercyhurst Lakers | 30 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 1.283 | 0 |
NCAA · Independents
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Stonehill |
13 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 54 | 2.077 | 0 |
| 2 |  Alaska Nanooks |
28 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 75 | 1.339 | 0 |
| 3 |  Arizona State Sun Devils |
31 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 82 | 1.323 | 0 |
| 4 |  Long Island Sharks |
26 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 81 | 1.558 | 0 |
| 5 | Lindenwood Lions |
24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 80 | 1.667 | 0 |
| 6 |  Alaska Anchorage |
20 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 37 | .925 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Air Force Falcons host Lindenwood Lions in the NCAA on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.