Ajoie vs Bern Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Lost

Ajoie +1.5 1.45

Confidence68%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Full game

1X2WonBernodds up 1.90Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonO3.5odds down 1.25Confidence 71%
Best tip of the game: HandicapLostAjoie +1.5odds down 1.45Confidence 68%
Winner (incl. OT)WonBernodds up 1.55Confidence 54%
Double chanceWonBern or drawodds up 1.30Confidence 66%
Draw no betWonBernodds up 1.47Confidence 55%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.14Confidence 85%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.50Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.18Confidence 78%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Ajoie 23

Bern

Final 1–4

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Decided in regulation

BER to winTo win 53% BER won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–44%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–122%chance
Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-3
By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-2
Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record8-7-28-4-3

Home / road split5-2-24-2-1

StreakL2L1

Rest2 days2 days

Goals for3.12.7

Goals against3.42.5

In the standings9th6th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.7+0.4

Goals for3.12.5

Goals against3.82.1

Shots on goal26.331.9

Shots against32.727.8

Shooting %11.8%7.8%

Save %89.0%92.4%

Power-play %20.4%14.0%

Penalty kill %81.6%86.0%

Faceoff %48.4%51.6%

Penalty minutes20.09.4

Blocked shots12.712.2

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Ajoie 32

Bern

Ajoie won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.0 AJO 3.0 · BER 3.0

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Sep 25, 2026: Bern 2, Ajoie 3, after overtime.
Feb 1, 2026: Bern 5, Ajoie 0.
Jan 2, 2026: Ajoie 3, Bern 4.
Oct 28, 2025: Bern 4, Ajoie 5.
Sep 20, 2025: Ajoie 4, Bern 0.

Last five games

Ajoie 2-3-0

Loss, 4–7 at EHC Kloten, Oct 27. Odds: Kloten 2.25, Ajoie 2.70.
Loss, 0–3 at Ambri-Piotta, Oct 24. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 1.77, Ajoie 3.57.
Win, 5–0 against Servette, Oct 23. Odds: Ajoie 2.50, Servette 2.25.
Loss, 1–2 against Zug, Oct 17. Odds: Ajoie 3.25, Zug 1.65.
Win, 5–2 at Biel, Oct 16. Odds: Biel 1.69, Ajoie 4.04.

Bern 3-2-0

Loss, 1–4 against Zurich, Oct 27. Odds: Bern 2.70, Zurich 2.11.
Win, 2–1 against Lugano, after overtime, Oct 25. Odds: Bern 1.80, Lugano 3.50.
Win, 4–1 at Davos, Oct 23. Odds: Davos 1.87, Bern 3.30.
Loss, 1–3 against Langnau Tigers, Oct 20. Odds: Bern 1.83, Langnau 3.00.
Win, 3–1 at Langnau Tigers, Oct 17. Odds: Langnau 2.00, Bern 2.70.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-1

11:04 Goal Bern: Balestra N. assists: Mottard P., Bemstrom E. 0-1

2nd period0-1

17:14 Goal Bern: Muller M. assists: Baumgartner B., Mitchell I. 0-2

3rd period1-2

00:46 2 min Bern: Merela W. Holding
02:18 Goal PPG Ajoie: Nattinen J. assists: Devos P., Tanus K. 1-2
09:34 2 min Ajoie: Diem N. Hooking
16:38 Goal Bern: Abols R. assists: Dionicio R. 1-3
16:49 Goal Bern: Dionicio R. assists: Abols R. 1-4

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

In goal: Patenaude N. for Ajoie (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts), von Burg C. for Bern (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Ajoie −0.7, Bern +0.4 over their recent games.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Ajoie.
Save % gap: Ajoie 89.0%, Bern 92.4% over their recent games.
6.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (AJO)	3.30	3.10	Shortened
1X2: X (draw)	4.20	4.00	Shortened
1X2: 2 (BER)	1.91	2.05	Drifted
Over/Under line	5.5	5	Line lowered
Handicap AJO	+0.5	+0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

National League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Zurich	18	17	1	0	47	1.306	75	38	+37
2	Ambri-Piotta	18	11	5	2	33	.917	57	53	+4
3	Servette	19	11	6	2	32	.842	49	55	−6
4	Langnau Tigers	19	9	7	3	29	.763	66	56	+10
5	Zug	13	9	3	1	28	1.077	49	27	+22
6	Bern	17	9	5	3	28	.824	46	47	−1
7	Fribourg	18	9	7	2	27	.750	57	44	+13
8	Lausanne	20	9	10	1	26	.650	59	69	−10
9	Ajoie	19	9	8	2	25	.658	58	64	−6
10	Davos	19	8	9	2	24	.632	45	55	−10
11	Biel	18	7	9	2	23	.639	57	60	−3
12	Lugano	18	7	9	2	22	.611	56	62	−6
13	Rapperswil-Jona	19	6	10	3	19	.500	50	69	−19
14	EHC Kloten	19	6	12	1	18	.474	44	69	−25

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Promotion - Playoffs
Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Ajoie vs Bern prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details