Ajoie vs Servette prediction
Chance to win · 36% and 42% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostServetteodds up 1.81Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.34Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonAjoie +2.5odds down 1.26Confidence 74%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostServetteodds up 1.51Confidence 54%
- Double chanceLostServette or drawodds up 1.30Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostServetteodds up 1.46Confidence 55%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.08Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostServetteodds up 2.30Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.79Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min5–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period2–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 2-4 (4%), 3-4 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 18, 2026: Servette 3, Ajoie 4, after a shootout.
- Mar 7, 2026: Ajoie 2, Servette 6.
- Dec 6, 2025: Servette 6, Ajoie 1.
- Nov 15, 2025: Ajoie 2, Servette 0.
- Sep 9, 2025: Servette 5, Ajoie 3.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–2 against Zug, Oct 17. Odds: Ajoie 3.25, Zug 1.65.
- Win, 5–2 at Biel, Oct 16. Odds: Biel 1.69, Ajoie 4.04.
- Loss, 3–6 at Lausanne, Oct 14. Odds: Lausanne 1.42, Ajoie 5.93.
- Win, 5–4 against Langnau Tigers, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Ajoie 3.05, Langnau 1.97.
- Loss, 2–7 at Fribourg, Oct 8.
- Loss, 2–5 against Lugano, Oct 20. Odds: Servette 2.22, Lugano 2.35.
- Loss, 3–6 at Ambri-Piotta, Oct 17. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 2.52, Servette 2.12.
- Win, 4–2 against Langnau Tigers, Oct 16. Odds: Servette 2.04, Langnau 3.01.
- Win, 4–3 against Kolner, after overtime, Oct 14. Odds: Servette 1.88, Koln 3.04.
- Win, 3–2 against Davos, Oct 10. Odds: Servette 2.42, Davos 2.42.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 02:26 2 min Ajoie: Honka A. Hooking
- 08:33 Goal Ajoie: Zgraggen J. assists: Honka A. 1-0
- 18:18 2 min Servette: Rutta J. Holding
- 19:32 Goal PPG Ajoie: Honka J. assists: Sopa K., Devos P. 2-0
2nd period1-0
- 02:27 2 min Ajoie: Horak T. Holding
- 14:02 Goal Ajoie: Smirnovs D. assists: Tanus K., Turkulainen J. 3-0
- 14:18 2 min Servette: Miranda M. Hooking
3rd period2-0
- 06:50 2 min Ajoie: Pilet V. Tripping
- 09:51 Goal Ajoie: Wick J. assists: Robin L., Pilet V. 4-0
- 15:32 2 min Servette: Hedlund W. Hooking
- 18:21 Goal Ajoie: Cormier C. assists: Christe G., Berthoud Y. 5-0
- 19:04 2 min Servette: Ignatavicius S. Unsportsmanlike conduct
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Ajoie dropped from 2.45 to 2.00 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Ajoie, 2 for Servette.
- In goal: Keller A. for Ajoie (4-3-3 in the last 10 starts), Charlin S. for Servette (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Servette.
- 6.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (AJO) | 2.50 | 2.50 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SER) | 2.25 | 2.25 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap AJO | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
National League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 47 | 1.306 | 75 | 38 | +37 | |
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 57 | 53 | +4 | |
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 32 | .842 | 49 | 55 | −6 | |
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 66 | 56 | +10 | |
| 5 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 1.077 | 49 | 27 | +22 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 28 | .824 | 46 | 47 | −1 | |
| 7 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | .750 | 57 | 44 | +13 | |
| 8 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 26 | .650 | 59 | 69 | −10 | |
| 9 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25 | .658 | 58 | 64 | −6 | |
| 10 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 45 | 55 | −10 | |
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 23 | .639 | 57 | 60 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 22 | .611 | 56 | 62 | −6 | |
| 13 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 50 | 69 | −19 | |
| 14 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 18 | .474 | 44 | 69 | −25 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Promotion - Playoffs
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Ajoie host Servette in the National League on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.