Ajoie vs Zug Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Won

Ajoie +2.5 1.32

Confidence69%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%

Full game

1X2WonZugodds up 1.72Confidence 53%
Over/UnderLostO4.51.38Confidence 70%
Best tip of the game: HandicapWonAjoie +2.51.32Confidence 69%
Winner (incl. OT)WonZug1.47Confidence 64%
Double chanceWonZug or drawodds up 1.26Confidence 71%
Draw no betWonZugodds up 1.39Confidence 67%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.10Confidence 86%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostZugodds up 2.25Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.51.25Confidence 76%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Ajoie 23

Zug

Final 1–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 3

Draw after 60 minDraw 21% Decided in regulation

ZUG to winTo win 64% ZUG won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–24%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period0–018%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-3
By period 0-1, 1-0, 1-2
Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 2-4 (4%), 3-4 (3%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record7-4-24-2-1

Home / road split4-1-24-2-1

StreakW1W1

RestBack-to-back5 days

Goals for3.33.6

Goals against3.52.1

In the standings9th5th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.4+0.6

Goals for3.33.4

Goals against3.72.8

Shots on goal26.025.0

Shots against33.324.8

Shooting %12.7%13.6%

Save %89.5%88.7%

Power-play %16.3%18.9%

Penalty kill %86.7%78.0%

Faceoff %51.3%51.2%

Penalty minutes17.97.6

Blocked shots15.114.2

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Ajoie 32

Zug

Ajoie won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.8 AJO 2.6 · ZUG 3.2

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in a shootout

Jan 16, 2026: Zug 2, Ajoie 4.
Nov 29, 2025: Ajoie 3, Zug 2, after a shootout.
Oct 23, 2025: Zug 8, Ajoie 3.
Oct 4, 2025: Ajoie 1, Zug 3.
Feb 1, 2025: Ajoie 2, Zug 1.

Last five games

Ajoie 3-2-0

Win, 5–2 at Biel, Oct 16. Odds: Biel 1.69, Ajoie 4.04.
Loss, 3–6 at Lausanne, Oct 14. Odds: Lausanne 1.42, Ajoie 5.93.
Win, 5–4 against Langnau Tigers, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Ajoie 3.05, Langnau 1.97.
Loss, 2–7 at Fribourg, Oct 8.
Win, 5–4 against Lugano, Oct 4.

Zug 2-2-1

Win, 3–1 at EHC Kloten, Oct 11. Odds: Kloten 2.67, Zug 2.20.
Loss, 1–2 at Servette, Oct 4.
Win, 5–2 at Rapperswil-Jona, Sep 29.
Loss, 3–5 at Langnau Tigers, Sep 25.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Lugano, after overtime, Sep 22.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

05:05 2 min Ajoie: Pilet V. Boarding

2nd period1-1

04:35 2 min Zug: Stadler L. Holding
06:35 Goal PPG Ajoie: Turkulainen J. assists: Robin L. 1-0
08:08 2 min Zug: Diaz R. Slashing
09:37 Goal SHG Zug: Rohrer V. assists: Geisser T. 1-1
18:33 2 min Ajoie: Pilet V. Holding

3rd period0-1

03:41 Goal Zug: Diaz R. assists: Kubalik D. 1-2
11:50 2 min Ajoie: Smirnovs D. Holding
12:12 2 min Ajoie: Devos P. Cross checking
17:27 2 min Zug: Riva E. Tripping

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Second game in two days for Ajoie, who played yesterday.
In goal: Keller A. for Ajoie (4-3-3 in the last 10 starts), Genoni L. for Zug (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.0 per game — Ajoie −0.4, Zug +0.6 over their recent games.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Ajoie.
5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (AJO)	3.25	3.25	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.35	4.35	No change
1X2: 2 (ZUG)	1.65	1.65	No change
Over/Under line	6	5.5	Line lowered
Handicap AJO	+0.5	+0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

National League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Zurich	18	17	1	0	47	1.306	75	38	+37
2	Ambri-Piotta	18	11	5	2	33	.917	57	53	+4
3	Servette	19	11	6	2	32	.842	49	55	−6
4	Langnau Tigers	19	9	7	3	29	.763	66	56	+10
5	Zug	13	9	3	1	28	1.077	49	27	+22
6	Bern	17	9	5	3	28	.824	46	47	−1
7	Fribourg	18	9	7	2	27	.750	57	44	+13
8	Lausanne	20	9	10	1	26	.650	59	69	−10
9	Ajoie	19	9	8	2	25	.658	58	64	−6
10	Davos	19	8	9	2	24	.632	45	55	−10
11	Biel	18	7	9	2	23	.639	57	60	−3
12	Lugano	18	7	9	2	22	.611	56	62	−6
13	Rapperswil-Jona	19	6	10	3	19	.500	50	69	−19
14	EHC Kloten	19	6	12	1	18	.474	44	69	−25

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
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Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Ajoie vs Zug prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details