Aktobe vs Nomad Astana prediction
Chance to win · 5% and 86% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 78%Full game
- 1X2WonNomad Astanaodds up 1.18Confidence 85%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU8.5odds down 1.37Confidence 74%
- HandicapWonNomad Astana -1.5Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonNomad Astanaodds up 1.10Confidence 87%
- Double chanceWonNomad Astana or drawodds up 1.05Confidence 89%
- Draw no betWonNomad Astanaodds up 1.06Confidence 89%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.08Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonNomad Astanaodds up 1.59Confidence 63%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.47Confidence 60%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Aktobe 1–4
Nomad Astana Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min3–56%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–315%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals33%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 1-4 (6%), 1-5 (5%), 2-5 (5%)
Season so far
This seasonAktobe
Nomad Astana
Head-to-head
Aktobe 0–5
Nomad Astana - Oct 17, 2026: Aktobe 4, Nomad Astana 5.
- Sep 20, 2026: Aktobe 3, Nomad Astana 5.
- Sep 19, 2026: Aktobe 3, Nomad Astana 6.
- Jan 8, 2026: Nomad Astana 3, Aktobe 1.
- Jan 7, 2026: Nomad Astana 4, Aktobe 0.
Last five games
Aktobe
4-1-0 - Win, 2–1 against Beibarys Atyrau, Oct 13. Odds: Aktobe 3.70, Beibarys 1.68.
- Win, 2–1 against Beibarys Atyrau, Oct 12. Odds: Aktobe 3.76, Beibarys 1.63.
- Win, 6–0 at Pavlodar, Oct 8.
- Win, 5–2 at Pavlodar, Oct 7.
- Loss, 1–7 at Gornyak Rudny, Oct 3.
Nomad Astana
4-0-1 - Win, 4–2 at Kokshetau, Oct 11.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Kokshetau, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Kokshetau 2.20, Nomad Astana 2.20.
- Win, 3–2 at Torpedo, after a shootout, Oct 7.
- Win, 3–2 at Torpedo, after overtime, Oct 6.
- Win, 5–4 against Kulager, after a shootout, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-3
- 03:38 Goal Aktobe: Bazanov M. assists: Khomenko Y., Kursakbayev R. 1-0
- 13:07 Goal Nomad Astana: Gross A. assists: Migunov A., Uteyev D. 1-1
- 14:30 Goal PPG Nomad Astana: Tsybin D. assists: Umerenkov M., Uteyev D. 1-2
- 17:31 Goal Nomad Astana: Tsybin D. assists: Migunov A., Makarov A. 1-3
2nd period1-1
- 08:38 Goal Nomad Astana: Suleimenov A. assists: Beisembayev A., Tsybin D. 1-4
- 11:57 Goal Aktobe: Kozorez A. 2-4
3rd period1-1
- 08:38 Goal Aktobe: Kalinichenko M. assists: Kozorez A., Gerasimov Y. 3-4
- 18:02 Goal ENG Nomad Astana: Migunov A. 3-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Aktobe coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Nomad Astana, 2 for Aktobe.
- 2-6-0 at home for Aktobe this season.
- 7-0-1 away for Nomad Astana this season.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Nomad Astana.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (AKT) | 8.10 | 8.10 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 7.36 | 7.36 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NOM) | 1.21 | 1.21 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 7.5 | 7.5 | No change |
| Handicap AKT | +2.5 | +2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Championship standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Torpedo |
26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 44 | .846 | 138 | 46 | +92 |
| 2 | Nomad Astana |
25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 42 | .840 | 102 | 61 | +41 |
| 3 |  Kokshetau |
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 41 | .788 | 97 | 58 | +39 |
| 4 |  Karaganda |
26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 38 | .731 | 108 | 60 | +48 |
| 5 |  Kulager |
24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 31 | .646 | 87 | 62 | +25 |
| 6 |  Gornyak Rudny |
26 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 29 | .558 | 90 | 68 | +22 |
| 7 |  Almaty |
26 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 23 | .442 | 66 | 92 | −26 |
| 8 | Aktobe |
26 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 13 | .250 | 69 | 117 | −48 |
| 9 |  Beibarys Atyrau |
25 | 5 | 18 | 2 | 12 | .240 | 48 | 85 | −37 |
| 10 |  Pavlodar |
24 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 1 | .021 | 31 | 187 | −156 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Aktobe host Nomad Astana in the Championship on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.