Aktobe vs Nomad Astana prediction
Chance to win · 6% and 85% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 78%Full game
- 1X2WonNomad Astanaodds down 1.15Confidence 83%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU8.5odds down 1.37Confidence 75%
- HandicapLostNomad Astana -1.5Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonNomad Astana1.08Confidence 87%
- Double chanceWonNomad Astana or draw1.04Confidence 89%
- Draw no betWonNomad Astana1.04Confidence 89%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.10Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonNomad Astanaodds down 1.54Confidence 61%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.46Confidence 60%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Aktobe 1–4
Nomad Astana Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min4–56%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–115%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 5 goals33%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 1-4 (6%), 2-5 (5%), 1-5 (5%)
Season so far
This seasonAktobe
Nomad Astana
Head-to-head
Aktobe 0–5
Nomad Astana - Oct 16, 2026: Aktobe 3, Nomad Astana 5.
- Sep 20, 2026: Aktobe 3, Nomad Astana 5.
- Sep 19, 2026: Aktobe 3, Nomad Astana 6.
- Jan 8, 2026: Nomad Astana 3, Aktobe 1.
- Jan 7, 2026: Nomad Astana 4, Aktobe 0.
Last five games
Aktobe
4-1-0 - Loss, 3–5 against Nomad Astana, Oct 16. Odds: Aktobe 8.10, Nomad Astana 1.21.
- Win, 2–1 against Beibarys Atyrau, Oct 13. Odds: Aktobe 3.70, Beibarys 1.68.
- Win, 2–1 against Beibarys Atyrau, Oct 12. Odds: Aktobe 3.76, Beibarys 1.63.
- Win, 6–0 at Pavlodar, Oct 8.
- Win, 5–2 at Pavlodar, Oct 7.
Nomad Astana
4-0-1 - Win, 5–3 at Aktobe, Oct 16. Odds: Aktobe 8.10, Nomad Astana 1.21.
- Win, 4–2 at Kokshetau, Oct 11.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Kokshetau, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Kokshetau 2.20, Nomad Astana 2.20.
- Win, 3–2 at Torpedo, after a shootout, Oct 7.
- Win, 3–2 at Torpedo, after overtime, Oct 6.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 11:56 Goal Nomad Astana: Umerenkov M. assists: Nikitin K., Tsybin D. 0-1
2nd period2-1
- 01:27 Goal Nomad Astana: Kenesbay K. assists: Kitarov T., Mangisbayev A. 0-2
- 07:32 Goal Aktobe: Khomenko Y. assists: Bazanov M., Polenov M. 1-2
- 12:32 Goal Aktobe: Aipov G. assists: Bazanov M., Khomenko Y. 2-2
3rd period2-3
- 03:14 Goal Aktobe: Bazanov M. assists: Khomenko Y., Kursakbayev R. 3-2
- 06:58 Goal PPG Nomad Astana: Beisembayev A. assists: Nikitin K. 3-3
- 07:10 Goal Aktobe: Zakharov Z. assists: Astrakhantsev G. 4-3
- 08:40 Goal Nomad Astana: Kenesbay K. assists: Migunov A., Kitarov T. 4-4
- 09:50 Goal PPG Nomad Astana: Mangisbayev A. assists: Nikitin K., Gross A. 4-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Aktobe and Nomad Astana played yesterday.
- 2-7-0 at home for Aktobe this season.
- 8-0-1 away for Nomad Astana this season.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Nomad Astana.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Aktobe.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (AKT) | 10.00 | 10.00 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 6.60 | 6.60 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NOM) | 1.21 | 1.21 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 7.5 | 7.5 | No change |
| Handicap AKT | +2.5 | +2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Championship standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Torpedo |
26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 44 | .846 | 138 | 46 | +92 |
| 2 | Nomad Astana |
25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 42 | .840 | 102 | 61 | +41 |
| 3 |  Kokshetau |
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 41 | .788 | 97 | 58 | +39 |
| 4 |  Karaganda |
26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 38 | .731 | 108 | 60 | +48 |
| 5 |  Kulager |
24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 31 | .646 | 87 | 62 | +25 |
| 6 |  Gornyak Rudny |
26 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 29 | .558 | 90 | 68 | +22 |
| 7 |  Almaty |
26 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 23 | .442 | 66 | 92 | −26 |
| 8 | Aktobe |
26 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 13 | .250 | 69 | 117 | −48 |
| 9 |  Beibarys Atyrau |
25 | 5 | 18 | 2 | 12 | .240 | 48 | 85 | −37 |
| 10 |  Pavlodar |
24 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 1 | .021 | 31 | 187 | −156 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Aktobe host Nomad Astana in the Championship on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.