Alleghe vs Fassa Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Won

Alleghe +1.5 1.55

Confidence69%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%

Full game

1X2WonAllegheodds up 3.00Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonO6.5odds down 1.64Confidence 54%
Best tip of the game: HandicapWonAlleghe +1.51.55Confidence 69%
Winner (incl. OT)WonAllegheodds up 2.27Confidence 55%
Double chanceWonAlleghe or draw1.69Confidence 66%
Draw no betWonAllegheConfidence 57%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonAlleghe3.05Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.50Confidence 61%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Alleghe 52

Fassa

Final 8–2

Total goalsTotal 7 Actual 10

Draw after 60 minDraw 18% Decided in regulation

ALL to winTo win 54% ALL won

Score details

Correct scoreLost5–2After 60 min8–23%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period3–07%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 5-2
By period 2-0, 1-1, 2-1
Likeliest 5-2 (3%), 5-3 (3%), 4-3 (3%)

Season so far

This season

Season

Season record1-3-13-2-1

Home / road split1-1-02-1-0

StreakW1L2

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for3.42.8

Goals against4.22.3

In the standings6th5th

Head-to-head

Alleghe 31

Fassa

Alleghe won three of the last four meetings

Goals a gameGoals 8.0 ALL 4.8 · FAS 3.3

Over 7.0 goalsOver 7.0 2 of 4 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 4 1 in overtime

Dec 6, 2025: Alleghe 6, Fassa 5, after overtime.
Oct 12, 2025: Fassa 3, Alleghe 8.
Dec 5, 2024: Fassa 1, Alleghe 2.
Nov 14, 2024: Alleghe 3, Fassa 4.

Last five games

Alleghe 2-3-0

Win, 6–3 against Pustertal Junior, Oct 22.
Loss, 2–5 at Varese, Oct 17.
Win, 5–2 at Pustertal Junior, Oct 15.
Loss, 3–4 against Feltre, Oct 10.
Loss, 3–5 at Aosta, Oct 3.

Fassa 2-2-1

Loss, 2–4 against Valdifiemme, Oct 22.
Overtime loss, 2–3 against Feltre, after overtime, Oct 18.
Win, 3–0 against Eppan, Oct 10.
Loss, 0–3 at Kaltern, Oct 3.
Win, 3–0 at Pustertal Junior, Oct 1.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period3-0

11:00 Goal Alleghe: Iori D. assists: Zardini Lacedelli N., Gabri R. 1-0
18:09 Goal Alleghe: DeNoble L. assists: Dimai D., Cruseman F. 2-0
18:38 Goal Alleghe: De Luca A. assists: Iori D., Da Tos M. 3-0

2nd period3-1

01:23 Goal PPG Fassa: Vinatzer G. assists: Defrancesco M., Vigl A. 3-1
02:08 Goal Alleghe: DeNoble L. assists: Levis T., Cruseman F. 4-1
05:20 Goal PPG Alleghe: Iori D. assists: DeNoble L., De Luca A. 5-1
18:14 Goal PPG Alleghe: Alexandrov A. assists: De Luca A., DeNoble L. 6-1

3rd period2-1

02:28 Goal Alleghe: Alessio G. assists: Cruseman F., Alexandrov A. 7-1
08:24 Goal PPG Fassa: Mikhnov A. assists: Berger N., Sibilevych D. 7-2
17:36 Goal Alleghe: Iori D. assists: Alexandrov A., Soppelsa N. 8-2

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Alleghe.
8.0 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 7.
6th vs 5th in the IHL standings.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (ALL)	3.15	3.15	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.30	4.30	No change
1X2: 2 (FAS)	1.80	1.80	No change
Over/Under line	7	7	No change
Handicap ALL	+1.5	+1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

IHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Aosta	9	9	0	0	26	1.444	40	17	+23
2	Kaltern	9	8	1	0	24	1.333	47	20	+27
3	Eppan	9	6	3	0	18	1.000	34	20	+14
4	Varese	9	5	4	0	15	.833	37	34	+3
5	Fassa	10	4	4	2	14	.700	27	32	−5
6	Alleghe	9	4	4	1	12	.667	38	32	+6
7	Valpellice	9	3	6	0	9	.500	28	37	−9
8	Feltre	8	3	5	0	8	.500	17	24	−7
9	Valdifiemme	9	3	6	0	8	.444	19	32	−13
10	Pustertal Junior	8	2	5	1	7	.438	17	36	−19
11	Pergine	9	2	7	0	6	.333	23	43	−20

Winners stage
Losers stage

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Alleghe vs Fassa prediction