Almaty vs Gornyak Rudny prediction
Chance to win · 17% and 65% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostGornyakodds up 1.98Confidence 62%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU7.51.33Confidence 77%
- HandicapLostGornyak -1.52.52Confidence 56%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostGornyakodds up 1.63Confidence 67%
- Double chanceLostGornyak or draw1.36Confidence 79%
- Draw no betLostGornyakodds down 1.60Confidence 65%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.05Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostGornyakodds down 2.41Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.67Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Almaty 1–4
Gornyak Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min5–25%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period3–010%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 1-4 (5%), 2-4 (4%), 2-5 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonAlmaty
Gornyak Rudny
Head-to-head
Almaty 1–4
Gornyak - Oct 16, 2026: Almaty 5, Gornyak Rudny 2.
- Oct 15, 2026: Almaty 2, Gornyak Rudny 3, after a shootout.
- Oct 11, 2026: Almaty 0, Gornyak Rudny 3.
- Jan 25, 2026: Gornyak Rudny 7, Almaty 3.
- Jan 24, 2026: Gornyak Rudny 5, Almaty 2.
Last five games
Almaty
2-3-0 - Loss, 0–3 against Gornyak Rudny, Oct 11.
- Loss, 3–5 at Beibarys Atyrau, Oct 7.
- Win, 4–1 at Beibarys Atyrau, Oct 6.
- Loss, 2–3 at Kokshetau, Oct 3.
- Win, 2–1 at Kokshetau, Oct 2.
Gornyak
4-1-0 - Win, 3–0 at Almaty, Oct 11.
- Loss, 1–4 against Karaganda, Oct 7.
- Win, 5–3 against Karaganda, Oct 6.
- Win, 7–1 against Aktobe, Oct 3.
- Win, 3–1 against Aktobe, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-0
- 13:31 Goal Almaty: Rymarev Y. assists: Dvurechensky R., Petrakov I. 1-0
- 17:05 Goal Almaty: Korchagin V. assists: Litovchenko V., Burdelyov A. 2-0
- 19:51 Goal PS Almaty: Rymarev Y. 3-0
2nd period0-1
- 17:27 Goal PPG Gornyak Rudny: Katkov A. assists: Manazhanov T., Gorozhaninov I. 3-1
3rd period2-1
- 07:49 Goal PPG Gornyak Rudny: Katkov A. assists: Lyapunov N., Gorozhaninov I. 3-2
- 13:22 Goal PPG Almaty: Petrakov I. assists: Olshansky S., Litovchenko V. 4-2
- 14:40 Goal PPG Almaty: Litovchenko V. assists: Petrakov I., Olshansky S. 5-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Almaty and Gornyak Rudny played yesterday.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Gornyak Rudny.
- −0.8 goals away — Gornyak Rudny averaged 4.5 at home and 3.7 away this season.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Gornyak Rudny.
- 6.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ALM) | 2.68 | 2.92 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.14 | 4.19 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (GOR) | 2.08 | 1.94 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap ALM | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Championship standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Torpedo |
26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 44 | .846 | 138 | 46 | +92 |
| 2 |  Nomad Astana |
25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 42 | .840 | 102 | 61 | +41 |
| 3 |  Kokshetau |
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 41 | .788 | 97 | 58 | +39 |
| 4 |  Karaganda |
26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 38 | .731 | 108 | 60 | +48 |
| 5 |  Kulager |
24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 31 | .646 | 87 | 62 | +25 |
| 6 | Gornyak Rudny |
26 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 29 | .558 | 90 | 68 | +22 |
| 7 | Almaty |
26 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 23 | .442 | 66 | 92 | −26 |
| 8 |  Aktobe |
26 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 13 | .250 | 69 | 117 | −48 |
| 9 |  Beibarys Atyrau |
25 | 5 | 18 | 2 | 12 | .240 | 48 | 85 | −37 |
| 10 |  Pavlodar |
24 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 1 | .021 | 31 | 187 | −156 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Almaty host Gornyak Rudny in the Championship on Monday, October 12, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.