Almaty vs Gornyak Rudny prediction
Chance to win · 22% and 59% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Full game
- 1X2LostGornyakodds up 1.75Confidence 61%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.32Confidence 77%
- HandicapWonAlmaty +1.51.52Confidence 61%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonGornyakodds up 1.47Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonGornyak or drawodds up 1.26Confidence 80%
- Draw no betPushGornyakodds up 1.41Confidence 75%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.06Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonGornyakodds up 2.21Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.68Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Almaty 2–3
Gornyak Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min2–25%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–110%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 2-3 (5%), 1-2 (4%), 3-4 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonAlmaty
Gornyak Rudny
Head-to-head
Almaty 2–3
Gornyak - Oct 16, 2026: Almaty 5, Gornyak Rudny 2.
- Oct 12, 2026: Almaty 5, Gornyak Rudny 2.
- Oct 11, 2026: Almaty 0, Gornyak Rudny 3.
- Jan 25, 2026: Gornyak Rudny 7, Almaty 3.
- Jan 24, 2026: Gornyak Rudny 5, Almaty 2.
Last five games
Almaty
2-3-0 - Win, 5–2 against Gornyak Rudny, Oct 12. Odds: Almaty 2.92, Gornyak 1.94.
- Loss, 0–3 against Gornyak Rudny, Oct 11.
- Loss, 3–5 at Beibarys Atyrau, Oct 7.
- Win, 4–1 at Beibarys Atyrau, Oct 6.
- Loss, 2–3 at Kokshetau, Oct 3.
Gornyak
3-2-0 - Loss, 2–5 at Almaty, Oct 12. Odds: Almaty 2.92, Gornyak 1.94.
- Win, 3–0 at Almaty, Oct 11.
- Loss, 1–4 against Karaganda, Oct 7.
- Win, 5–3 against Karaganda, Oct 6.
- Win, 7–1 against Aktobe, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 05:33 Goal Gornyak Rudny: Tserulnikov A. 0-1
2nd period2-1
- 06:42 Goal PPG Almaty: Rymarev Y. assists: Burdelyov A., Petrakov I. 1-1
- 07:16 Goal Almaty: Burdelyov A. assists: Litovchenko V., Allamov D. 2-1
- 16:07 Goal Gornyak Rudny: Kurshuk A. assists: Yulbarisov O., Stulov D. 2-2
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout1-2
-
Round 1
Atakhanov D.
✗missed
Yulbarisov O.
✗missed
-
Round 2
Korchagin V.
✓scored
Tserulnikov A.
✓scored
-
Round 3
Rymarev Y.
✗missed
Rakhimov S.
✗missed
-
Round 4
Rymarev Y.
✗missed
Lyapunov N.
✗missed
-
Round 5
Petrakov I.
✗missed
Gurin V.
✓scored
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Gornyak Rudny.
- −1.0 goals away — Gornyak Rudny averaged 4.5 at home and 3.5 away this season.
- 6.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
- 7th vs 6th in the Championship standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ALM) | 3.38 | 3.38 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (GOR) | 1.77 | 1.77 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap ALM | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Championship standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Torpedo |
26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 44 | .846 | 138 | 46 | +92 |
| 2 |  Nomad Astana |
25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 42 | .840 | 102 | 61 | +41 |
| 3 |  Kokshetau |
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 41 | .788 | 97 | 58 | +39 |
| 4 |  Karaganda |
26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 38 | .731 | 108 | 60 | +48 |
| 5 |  Kulager |
24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 31 | .646 | 87 | 62 | +25 |
| 6 | Gornyak Rudny |
26 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 29 | .558 | 90 | 68 | +22 |
| 7 | Almaty |
26 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 23 | .442 | 66 | 92 | −26 |
| 8 |  Aktobe |
26 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 13 | .250 | 69 | 117 | −48 |
| 9 |  Beibarys Atyrau |
25 | 5 | 18 | 2 | 12 | .240 | 48 | 85 | −37 |
| 10 |  Pavlodar |
24 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 1 | .021 | 31 | 187 | −156 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Almaty host Gornyak Rudny in the Championship on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.