Almaty vs Gornyak Rudny prediction
Chance to win · 23% and 57% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2LostGornyakodds up 1.70Confidence 59%
- Over/UnderLostU6.51.30Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonAlmaty +1.5odds down 1.55Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostGornyak1.44Confidence 70%
- Double chanceLostGornyak or draw1.24Confidence 78%
- Best tip of the game: Draw no betLostGornyak1.38Confidence 73%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.12Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostGornyak2.24Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.96Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Almaty 2–3
Gornyak Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min5–25%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 5 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 2-3 (5%), 1-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonAlmaty
Gornyak Rudny
Head-to-head
Almaty 1–4
Gornyak - Oct 15, 2026: Almaty 2, Gornyak Rudny 3, after a shootout.
- Oct 12, 2026: Almaty 5, Gornyak Rudny 2.
- Oct 11, 2026: Almaty 0, Gornyak Rudny 3.
- Jan 25, 2026: Gornyak Rudny 7, Almaty 3.
- Jan 24, 2026: Gornyak Rudny 5, Almaty 2.
Last five games
Almaty
2-2-1 - Overtime loss, 2–3 against Gornyak Rudny, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Almaty 3.38, Gornyak 1.77.
- Win, 5–2 against Gornyak Rudny, Oct 12. Odds: Almaty 2.92, Gornyak 1.94.
- Loss, 0–3 against Gornyak Rudny, Oct 11.
- Loss, 3–5 at Beibarys Atyrau, Oct 7.
- Win, 4–1 at Beibarys Atyrau, Oct 6.
Gornyak
3-2-0 - Win, 3–2 at Almaty, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Almaty 3.38, Gornyak 1.77.
- Loss, 2–5 at Almaty, Oct 12. Odds: Almaty 2.92, Gornyak 1.94.
- Win, 3–0 at Almaty, Oct 11.
- Loss, 1–4 against Karaganda, Oct 7.
- Win, 5–3 against Karaganda, Oct 6.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 15:25 Goal Almaty: Litovchenko V. assists: Burdelyov A., Korchagin V. 1-0
2nd period4-1
- 02:24 Goal Almaty: Rymarev Y. assists: Burdelyov A., Aflitonov D. 2-0
- 04:03 Goal Almaty: Dvurechensky R. assists: Aflitonov D., Rymarev Y. 3-0
- 04:58 Goal Almaty: Burdelyov A. assists: Litovchenko V. 4-0
- 10:52 Goal Almaty: Rymarev Y. assists: Petrakov I., Dvurechensky R. 5-0
- 19:42 Goal Gornyak Rudny: Shingareyev T. assists: Kurshuk A., Yulbarisov O. 5-1
3rd period0-1
- 09:59 Goal Gornyak Rudny: Lazarev S. assists: Parkhomenko D., Krotov V. 5-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Almaty and Gornyak Rudny played yesterday.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Gornyak Rudny.
- −1.0 goals away — Gornyak Rudny averaged 4.5 at home and 3.5 away this season.
- 6.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 7th vs 6th in the Championship standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ALM) | 3.66 | 3.66 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.08 | 4.08 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (GOR) | 1.73 | 1.73 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap ALM | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Championship standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Torpedo |
26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 44 | .846 | 138 | 46 | +92 |
| 2 |  Nomad Astana |
25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 42 | .840 | 102 | 61 | +41 |
| 3 |  Kokshetau |
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 41 | .788 | 97 | 58 | +39 |
| 4 |  Karaganda |
26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 38 | .731 | 108 | 60 | +48 |
| 5 |  Kulager |
24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 31 | .646 | 87 | 62 | +25 |
| 6 | Gornyak Rudny |
26 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 29 | .558 | 90 | 68 | +22 |
| 7 | Almaty |
26 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 23 | .442 | 66 | 92 | −26 |
| 8 |  Aktobe |
26 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 13 | .250 | 69 | 117 | −48 |
| 9 |  Beibarys Atyrau |
25 | 5 | 18 | 2 | 12 | .240 | 48 | 85 | −37 |
| 10 |  Pavlodar |
24 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 1 | .021 | 31 | 187 | −156 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Almaty host Gornyak Rudny in the Championship on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.