Ambri-Piotta vs Ajoie prediction
Chance to win · 51% and 28% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonAmbri-Piottaodds down 1.78Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.51.44Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostAjoie +1.5odds up 1.52Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonAmbri-Piottaodds down 1.50Confidence 62%
- Double chanceWonAmbri-Piotta or drawodds down 1.29Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonAmbri-Piottaodds down 1.44Confidence 65%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.10Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonAmbri-Piottaodds down 2.35Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.88Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 4% since they opened.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min3–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 15, 2026: Ajoie 2, Ambri-Piotta 3, after a shootout.
- Mar 31, 2026: Ajoie 0, Ambri-Piotta 3.
- Mar 28, 2026: Ambri-Piotta 3, Ajoie 2.
- Mar 24, 2026: Ajoie 3, Ambri-Piotta 6.
- Mar 21, 2026: Ambri-Piotta 5, Ajoie 3.
Last five games
- Loss, 3–6 at Rapperswil-Jona, Oct 23. Odds: Rapperswil 2.30, Ambri-Piotta 2.50.
- Win, 3–2 against Fribourg, Oct 20. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 2.65, Fribourg 2.00.
- Win, 6–3 against Servette, Oct 17. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 2.52, Servette 2.12.
- Win, 5–0 at EHC Kloten, Oct 16. Odds: Kloten 2.35, Ambri-Piotta 2.57.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Bern, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 2.42, Bern 2.42.
- Win, 5–0 against Servette, Oct 23. Odds: Ajoie 2.50, Servette 2.25.
- Loss, 1–2 against Zug, Oct 17. Odds: Ajoie 3.25, Zug 1.65.
- Win, 5–2 at Biel, Oct 16. Odds: Biel 1.69, Ajoie 4.04.
- Loss, 3–6 at Lausanne, Oct 14. Odds: Lausanne 1.42, Ajoie 5.93.
- Win, 5–4 against Langnau Tigers, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Ajoie 3.05, Langnau 1.97.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 05:57 2 min Ajoie: Brown L. Tripping
- 19:12 Goal Ambri-Piotta: Muller M. assists: Worge Kreu W. 1-0
2nd period2-0
- 06:28 2 min Ambri-Piotta: Dotti I. Delay of game
- 18:24 Goal Ambri-Piotta: Muggli T. assists: Jarventie R. 2-0
- 19:01 2 min Ajoie: Smirnovs D. Hooking
- 19:16 Goal PPG Ambri-Piotta: Joly M. assists: Schnarr N., Jarventie R. 3-0
- 19:51 2 min Ambri-Piotta: Landry L. Tripping
3rd period0-0
- 03:58 2 min Ambri-Piotta: — Too many men on the ice
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Ambri-Piotta and Ajoie played yesterday.
- Odds moved: the odds on Ambri-Piotta dropped from 1.60 to 1.45 since they were first published.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Ambri-Piotta.
- In goal: Wuthrich P. for Ambri-Piotta (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts), Wolf T. for Ajoie (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 6.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (AMB) | 1.77 | 1.77 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (AJO) | 3.57 | 3.57 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap AMB | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
National League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 47 | 1.306 | 75 | 38 | +37 | |
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 57 | 53 | +4 | |
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 32 | .842 | 49 | 55 | −6 | |
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 66 | 56 | +10 | |
| 5 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 1.077 | 49 | 27 | +22 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 28 | .824 | 46 | 47 | −1 | |
| 7 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | .750 | 57 | 44 | +13 | |
| 8 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 26 | .650 | 59 | 69 | −10 | |
| 9 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25 | .658 | 58 | 64 | −6 | |
| 10 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 45 | 55 | −10 | |
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 23 | .639 | 57 | 60 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 22 | .611 | 56 | 62 | −6 | |
| 13 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 50 | 69 | −19 | |
| 14 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 18 | .474 | 44 | 69 | −25 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Promotion - Playoffs
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Ambri-Piotta host Ajoie in the National League on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.