Ambri-Piotta vs Biel prediction
Chance to win · 49% and 30% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostAmbri-Piottaodds up 1.71Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.31Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonBiel +2.5odds down 1.31Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonAmbri-Piottaodds up 1.43Confidence 61%
- Double chanceWonAmbri-Piotta or drawodds up 1.26Confidence 69%
- Draw no betPushAmbri-Piottaodds up 1.38Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.08Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostAmbri-Piottaodds up 2.20Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.75Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min3–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 22, 2026: Biel 3, Ambri-Piotta 4.
- Jan 15, 2026: Biel 3, Ambri-Piotta 2, after overtime.
- Nov 29, 2025: Ambri-Piotta 5, Biel 4, after a shootout.
- Nov 1, 2025: Ambri-Piotta 3, Biel 1.
- Sep 20, 2025: Biel 3, Ambri-Piotta 2, after a shootout.
Last five games
- Win, 3–0 against Ajoie, Oct 24. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 1.77, Ajoie 3.57.
- Loss, 3–6 at Rapperswil-Jona, Oct 23. Odds: Rapperswil 2.30, Ambri-Piotta 2.50.
- Win, 3–2 against Fribourg, Oct 20. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 2.65, Fribourg 2.00.
- Win, 6–3 against Servette, Oct 17. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 2.52, Servette 2.12.
- Win, 5–0 at EHC Kloten, Oct 16. Odds: Kloten 2.35, Ambri-Piotta 2.57.
- Win, 5–0 against Zug, Oct 24. Odds: Biel 2.56, Zug 2.23.
- Loss, 3–6 at Fribourg, Oct 23. Odds: Fribourg 1.48, Biel 5.00.
- Win, 4–3 against Rapperswil-Jona, Oct 20. Odds: Biel 1.83, Rapperswil 2.85.
- Win, 3–2 at Rapperswil-Jona, Oct 17. Odds: Rapperswil 2.12, Biel 2.42.
- Loss, 2–5 against Ajoie, Oct 16. Odds: Biel 1.69, Ajoie 4.04.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 01:46 2 min Ambri-Piotta: Schnarr N. Hooking
- 11:09 2 min Biel: Villard J. Tripping
- 12:52 Goal PPG Ambri-Piotta: Kodytek P. assists: Muggli T., Pestoni I. 1-0
- 13:43 2 min Biel: Christen L. Holding
- 14:53 2 min Biel: Neuenschwander J. Tripping
- 18:15 Goal Biel: Skinner J. assists: Sylvegard M. 1-1
2nd period1-0
- 02:50 Goal Ambri-Piotta: Landry M. 2-1
- 09:42 2 min Ambri-Piotta: Borradori N. Diving
- 13:20 2 min Biel: Burren Y. Hooking
3rd period1-2
- 03:45 Goal Biel: Zwerger D. 2-2
- 04:38 Goal Biel: Sablatnig Y. assists: Neuenschwander J. 2-3
- 10:53 2 min Biel: Andersson L. Holding
- 12:49 Goal PPG Ambri-Piotta: Jarventie R. assists: Schnarr N. 3-3
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout2-0
-
Round 1
Jarventie R.
✓scored
Skinner J.
✗missed
-
Round 2
Schnarr N.
✓scored
Rajala T.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Joly M.
✗missed
Andersson L.
✗missed
-
Round 4
Muller M.
✗missed
Neuenschwander J.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Senn G. for Ambri-Piotta (2-6-2 in the last 10 starts), Sateri H. for Biel (2-7-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.2 per game — Ambri-Piotta +0.4, Biel −0.8 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Ambri-Piotta.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Ambri-Piotta.
- Save % gap: Ambri-Piotta 92.3%, Biel 88.6% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (AMB) | 1.80 | 1.95 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.75 | 4.50 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (BIE) | 3.30 | 3.00 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap AMB | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
National League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 47 | 1.306 | 75 | 38 | +37 | |
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 57 | 53 | +4 | |
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 32 | .842 | 49 | 55 | −6 | |
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 66 | 56 | +10 | |
| 5 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 1.077 | 49 | 27 | +22 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 28 | .824 | 46 | 47 | −1 | |
| 7 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | .750 | 57 | 44 | +13 | |
| 8 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 26 | .650 | 59 | 69 | −10 | |
| 9 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25 | .658 | 58 | 64 | −6 | |
| 10 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 45 | 55 | −10 | |
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 23 | .639 | 57 | 60 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 22 | .611 | 56 | 62 | −6 | |
| 13 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 50 | 69 | −19 | |
| 14 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 18 | .474 | 44 | 69 | −25 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Promotion - Playoffs
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Ambri-Piotta host Biel in the National League on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.