Ambri-Piotta vs Fribourg Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

O4.5 1.34

Confidence70%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Full game

1X2LostFribourgodds down 2.15Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.34Confidence 70%
HandicapWonAmbri-Piotta +3.5Confidence 78%
Winner (incl. OT)LostFribourgodds down 1.73Confidence 57%
Double chanceLostFribourg or drawodds down 1.43Confidence 67%
Draw no betLostFribourgodds down 1.69Confidence 58%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.07Confidence 87%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostFribourg2.55Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.78Confidence 54%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Ambri-Piotta 14

Fribourg

Final 3–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Decided in regulation

FRI to winTo win 56% AMB won

Score details

Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min3–24%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period2–17%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-4
By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-3 (4%), 2-5 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record7-4-17-3-2

Home / road split2-3-12-2-2

StreakW2W1

Rest2 days2 days

Goals for3.13.7

Goals against2.92.5

In the standings2nd7th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.2+2.0

Goals for2.84.3

Goals against3.02.3

Shots on goal29.431.0

Shots against30.926.9

Shooting %9.5%13.9%

Save %91.6%91.4%

Power-play %28.6%33.3%

Penalty kill %67.6%82.5%

Faceoff %52.4%49.6%

Penalty minutes6.98.0

Blocked shots14.912.9

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Ambri-Piotta 23

Fribourg

Fribourg won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.2 AMB 3.0 · FRI 3.2

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 3 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 2 of 5 2 in overtime

Oct 3, 2026: Fribourg 1, Ambri-Piotta 2.
Jan 27, 2026: Fribourg 4, Ambri-Piotta 3, after overtime.
Dec 19, 2025: Ambri-Piotta 5, Fribourg 6, after overtime.
Nov 15, 2025: Ambri-Piotta 4, Fribourg 2.
Sep 27, 2025: Fribourg 3, Ambri-Piotta 1.

Last five games

Ambri-Piotta 3-1-1

Win, 6–3 against Servette, Oct 17. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 2.52, Servette 2.12.
Win, 5–0 at EHC Kloten, Oct 16. Odds: Kloten 2.35, Ambri-Piotta 2.57.
Overtime loss, 1–2 against Bern, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 2.42, Bern 2.42.
Win, 2–1 at Fribourg, Oct 3.
Loss, 1–5 against Langnau Tigers, Oct 1.

Fribourg 3-0-2

Win, 6–1 against Lugano, Oct 17. Odds: Fribourg 1.78, Lugano 3.05.
Overtime loss, 3–4 at Herning Blue Fox, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: Herning 5.40, Fribourg 1.41.
Overtime loss, 4–5 at Zurich, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Zurich 1.83, Fribourg 3.45.
Win, 7–2 against Ajoie, Oct 8.
Win, 6–1 against Nitra, Oct 6.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period2-1

01:03 Goal Ambri-Piotta: Joly M. 1-0
02:35 2 min Fribourg: — Too many men on the ice
06:05 Goal Fribourg: Bertschy C. assists: Schild T., Streule M. 1-1
06:50 2 min Fribourg: Johnson L. Tripping
12:14 Goal Ambri-Piotta: Pestoni I. assists: Kodytek P., Joly M. 2-1
14:05 2 min Ambri-Piotta: De Luca T. Hooking

2nd period1-1

05:23 2 min Ambri-Piotta: Jarventie R. Holding
08:05 2 min Fribourg: Nicolet K. Tripping
17:13 Goal Fribourg: De La Rose J. 2-2
17:58 Goal Ambri-Piotta: Joly M. assists: Pestoni I., Worge Kreu W. 3-2

3rd period0-0

10:56 2 min Fribourg: Hedlund L. Tripping
17:25 2 min Fribourg: Richard A. Interference
17:25 2 min Fribourg: Richard A. Unsportsmanlike conduct
19:33 2 min Fribourg: De La Rose J. High sticking
19:33 2 min Fribourg: De La Rose J. Unsportsmanlike conduct

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

In goal: Wuthrich P. for Ambri-Piotta (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts), Waeber L. for Fribourg (6-2-2 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 2.2 per game — Ambri-Piotta −0.2, Fribourg +2.0 over their recent games.
Power play vs penalty kill: 33.3% on the power play for Fribourg, 67.6% on the penalty kill for Ambri-Piotta.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Fribourg.
−1.7 goals away — Fribourg averaged 4.5 at home and 2.8 away this season.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (AMB)	2.65	2.65	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.85	3.85	No change
1X2: 2 (FRI)	2.00	2.00	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap AMB	+0.5	+0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

National League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Zurich	18	17	1	0	47	1.306	75	38	+37
2	Ambri-Piotta	18	11	5	2	33	.917	57	53	+4
3	Servette	19	11	6	2	32	.842	49	55	−6
4	Langnau Tigers	19	9	7	3	29	.763	66	56	+10
5	Zug	13	9	3	1	28	1.077	49	27	+22
6	Bern	17	9	5	3	28	.824	46	47	−1
7	Fribourg	18	9	7	2	27	.750	57	44	+13
8	Lausanne	20	9	10	1	26	.650	59	69	−10
9	Ajoie	19	9	8	2	25	.658	58	64	−6
10	Davos	19	8	9	2	24	.632	45	55	−10
11	Biel	18	7	9	2	23	.639	57	60	−3
12	Lugano	18	7	9	2	22	.611	56	62	−6
13	Rapperswil-Jona	19	6	10	3	19	.500	50	69	−19
14	EHC Kloten	19	6	12	1	18	.474	44	69	−25

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
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Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Ambri-Piotta vs Fribourg prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details