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Amiens vs Marseille prediction

Ligue Magnus Friday, October 16, 2026Fri · Oct 16 Round 10
HomeAmiens7-6-18th in the standingsWWWLL
Amiens 5, Marseille 4 FT Puck drop 14:15 ET 1X2 2.391X2 2.39
Team 1st 2nd 3rd
AMI 2 1 2
MAR 2 2 0
Coliseum (Amiens) · FranceColiseum (Amiens)
AwayMarseille9-3-33rd in the standingsLWWWW
43%Amiens win · 32% in regulationAMI Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22% 57%Marseille win · 46% in regulationMAR

Chance to win · 32% and 46% in regulation

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance Lost
Marseille or draw odds up 1.29
Confidence69%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%

Full game

  • 1X2LostMarseilleodds up 1.89Confidence 51%
  • Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.32Confidence 71%
  • HandicapWonAmiens +1.5odds down 1.46Confidence 66%
  • Winner (incl. OT)LostMarseilleodds up 1.63Confidence 59%
  • Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostMarseille or drawodds up 1.29Confidence 69%
  • Draw no betLostMarseilleodds up 1.67Confidence 61%
  • Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.11Confidence 85%

1st period

  • 1st period 1X2LostMarseilleodds down 2.55Confidence 51%
  • 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5Confidence 78%
How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Amiens 23 Marseille
Final 5–4
Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 9
Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Decided in regulation
MAR to winTo win 57% AMI won

Score details

  • Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min5–44%chance
  • 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period2–218%chance
  • Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
  • After 60 minutes 2-3
  • By period 0-1, 1-0, 1-2
  • Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (4%)

Amiens host Marseille in the Ligue Magnus on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.