Amiens vs Marseille prediction
Chance to win · 32% and 46% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostMarseilleodds up 1.89Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.32Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonAmiens +1.5odds down 1.46Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostMarseilleodds up 1.63Confidence 59%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostMarseille or drawodds up 1.29Confidence 69%
- Draw no betLostMarseilleodds up 1.67Confidence 61%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.11Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostMarseilleodds down 2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min5–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period2–218%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-1, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 14+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 27, 2026: Marseille 2, Amiens 3, after overtime.
- Mar 1, 2026: Amiens 2, Marseille 1, after overtime.
- Jan 13, 2026: Marseille 1, Amiens 0, after a shootout.
- Oct 26, 2025: Marseille 4, Amiens 0.
- Oct 24, 2025: Amiens 5, Marseille 6, after a shootout.
Last five games
- Win, 3–2 at Briancon, Oct 9. Odds: Briancon 2.04, Amiens 2.65.
- Win, 2–1 against Cergy-Pontoise, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Win, 3–0 at Anglet, Oct 2.
- Loss, 0–2 at Rouen, Sep 29.
- Loss, 2–5 against Gap, Sep 27.
- Loss, 0–3 at Rouen, Oct 15. Odds: Rouen 1.55, Marseille 3.50.
- Win, 5–2 against Gap, Oct 9. Odds: Marseille 1.50, Gap 4.40.
- Win, 5–4 at Grenoble, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Win, 4–1 against Angers, Oct 2.
- Win, 3–2 at Chamonix Mont-Blanc, after overtime, Sep 29.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-2
- 15:10 Goal Marseille: Dair F. assists: Ishida R., Tavernier E. 0-1
- 18:11 Goal PPG Amiens: Girouard N. assists: Mony M., Magee B. 1-1
- 18:54 Goal Amiens: Barriga E. assists: Seitz N., Hinam T. 2-1
- 19:23 Goal Marseille: Limtong S. assists: Dufek J., Petersson B. 2-2
2nd period1-2
- 07:02 Goal Marseille: Dufek J. assists: Limtong S., Gradin A. 2-3
- 08:09 Goal Marseille: Quattrone T. assists: Chapuis M., Petersson B. 2-4
- 11:58 Goal Amiens: Craig K. assists: Schmitt C., Vertanen J. 3-4
3rd period2-0
- 07:16 Goal Amiens: Craig K. assists: Plagnat A., Girouard N. 4-4
- 12:23 Goal Amiens: Schmitt C. assists: Hinam T., Barriga E. 5-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Marseille, who played yesterday.
- 3-game winning streak for Amiens coming into this game.
- 4-1-0 away for Marseille this season.
- Goal differential gap of 1.8 per game — Amiens −0.7, Marseille +1.1 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Marseille.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (AMI) | 2.39 | 2.39 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MAR) | 2.39 | 2.39 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap AMI | +1.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Ligue Magnus standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 1.250 | 60 | 29 | +31 | |
| 2 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 1.063 | 51 | 29 | +22 | |
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | .933 | 48 | 40 | +8 | |
| 4 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | .786 | 45 | 52 | −7 | |
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 22 | .733 | 40 | 39 | +1 | |
| 6 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 21 | .750 | 39 | 42 | −3 | |
| 7 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20 | .714 | 45 | 40 | +5 | |
| 8 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20 | .714 | 38 | 45 | −7 | |
| 9 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20 | .714 | 42 | 42 | 0 | |
| 10 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 16 | .571 | 34 | 50 | −16 | |
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 13 | .464 | 27 | 39 | −12 | |
| 12 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 7 | .250 | 29 | 51 | −22 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Amiens host Marseille in the Ligue Magnus on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.