Arlanda vs Surahammar prediction
Chance to win · 9% and 79% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Full game
- 1X2WonSurahammarodds down 1.66Confidence 66%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds up 1.30Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostSurahammar -1.5odds down 2.00Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSurahammarodds down 1.34Confidence 84%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonSurahammar or drawodds down 1.28Confidence 88%
- Draw no betWonSurahammarodds down 1.36Confidence 76%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.08Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSurahammarConfidence 56%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Arlanda 1–4
Surahammar Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min1–27%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–012%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (7%), 2-5 (6%), 1-5 (5%)
Season so far
This seasonArlanda
Surahammar
Head-to-head
Arlanda 2–0
Surahammar - Jan 14, 2026: Surahammar 2, Arlanda 3, after overtime.
- Oct 8, 2025: Arlanda 4, Surahammar 1.
Last five games
Arlanda
0-5-0 - Loss, 1–5 against Lindloven, Oct 24. Odds: Arlanda 8.25, Lindloven 1.26.
- Loss, 3–6 against Jarfalla, Oct 21. Odds: Arlanda 2.65, Jarfalla 2.05.
- Loss, 1–15 at Hudiksvall, Oct 17. Odds: Hudiksvall 1.08, Arlanda 25.00.
- Loss, 0–6 at Sundsvall, Oct 16. Odds: Sundsvall 1.22, Arlanda 9.05.
- Loss, 3–6 against Kalix, Oct 10.
Surahammar
4-1-0 - Win, 2–1 against Borlange, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Surahammar 2.70, Borlange 2.05.
- Win, 3–2 against Norrtalje, Oct 18. Odds: Surahammar 1.75, Norrtalje 3.30.
- Win, 4–0 at Stromsbro IF, Oct 16. Odds: Stromsbro 1.68, Surahammar 3.87.
- Win, 2–1 at Enkoping, Oct 11.
- Loss, 2–5 against Jarfalla, Oct 9. Odds: Surahammar 1.83, Jarfalla 3.05.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period1-2
- 00:45 Goal Surahammar: Lundstrom T. assists: Semjonovs R., Naslund S. 0-1
- 02:30 Goal Arlanda: Johansson S. assists: Karling N. 1-1
- 19:26 Goal PPG Surahammar: Rydell L. assists: Naslund S., Eneroth J. 1-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 7-game losing streak for Arlanda coming into this game.
- 4-game winning streak for Surahammar coming into this game.
- +1.3 goals at home — Arlanda averaged 2.0 at home and 0.8 away this season.
- 19th vs 7th in the HockeyEttan Norra standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ARL) | 3.80 | 4.73 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.40 | 4.65 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (SUR) | 1.65 | 1.49 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap ARL | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HockeyEttan Norra standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hudiksvall |
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 1.300 | 62 | 13 | +49 |
| 2 |  Sundsvall |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 45 | 27 | +18 |
| 3 |  Boden |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 47 | 35 | +12 |
| 4 |  Ornskoldsvik |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1.050 | 37 | 28 | +9 |
| 5 |  Pitea |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 1.000 | 37 | 29 | +8 |
| 6 |  Kalix |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | .833 | 36 | 28 | +8 |
| 7 | Surahammar |
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | .818 | 22 | 23 | −1 |
| 8 |  Lindloven |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 26 | 18 | +8 |
| 9 |  Vasby |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 31 | 28 | +3 |
| 10 |  Kiruna IF |
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17 | .708 | 33 | 34 | −1 |
| 11 |  Jarfalla |
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17 | .773 | 36 | 39 | −3 |
| 12 |  Stromsbro IF |
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 20 | 23 | −3 |
| 13 |  Asploven |
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | .682 | 25 | 33 | −8 |
| 14 |  Borlange |
12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | .583 | 28 | 31 | −3 |
| 15 |  Vallentuna |
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13 | .650 | 35 | 36 | −1 |
| 16 |  Sollentuna |
10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | .500 | 26 | 44 | −18 |
| 17 |  Norrtalje |
11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .318 | 24 | 40 | −16 |
| 18 |  Enkoping |
10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | .300 | 23 | 41 | −18 |
| 19 | Arlanda |
11 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3 | .136 | 15 | 58 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Arlanda host Surahammar in the HockeyEttan Norra on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.