Arosa vs La Chaux-de-Fonds prediction
Chance to win · 15% and 70% in regulation
Simeoni D.Started2-7-1
Ruegger B.Started6-3-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Full game
- 1X2WonChaux-de-Fondsodds up 1.20Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU8.5odds up 1.39Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonChaux-de-Fonds -1.51.47Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonChaux-de-Fondsodds up 1.09Confidence 80%
- Double chanceWonChaux-de-Fonds or drawodds up 1.06Confidence 85%
- Draw no betWonChaux-de-FondsConfidence 82%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonChaux-de-FondsConfidence 52%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5odds down 1.48Confidence 71%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 4% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Arosa 2–5
Chaux-de-Fonds Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–5After 60 min1–76%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–312%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-5
- By period 0-2, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-5 (6%), 1-4 (5%), 1-5 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonArosa
La Chaux-de-Fonds
Head-to-head
Arosa 1–4
Chaux-de-Fonds - Sep 22, 2026: La Chaux-de-Fonds 2, Arosa 5.
- Jan 3, 2026: Arosa 4, La Chaux-de-Fonds 10.
- Dec 2, 2025: La Chaux-de-Fonds 5, Arosa 2.
- Nov 14, 2025: La Chaux-de-Fonds 4, Arosa 2.
- Oct 7, 2025: Arosa 1, La Chaux-de-Fonds 4.
Last five games
Arosa
1-4-0 - Win, 4–2 at Bellinzona Snakes, Oct 25. Odds: Bellinzona 1.53, Arosa 4.40.
- Loss, 3–10 at Olten, Oct 20. Odds: Olten 1.30, Arosa 6.30.
- Loss, 0–4 against Olten, Oct 17. Odds: Arosa 4.75, Olten 1.48.
- Loss, 1–4 against Thurgau, Oct 13. Odds: Arosa 4.07, Thurgau 1.57.
- Loss, 2–5 at Basel, Oct 10. Odds: Basel 1.15, Arosa 10.00.
Chaux-de-Fonds
4-1-0 - Win, 4–1 at GCK Lions, Oct 24. Odds: GCK Lions 3.40, Chaux-de-Fonds 1.70.
- Win, 2–1 against Sierre, Oct 17. Odds: Chaux-de-Fonds 3.21, Sierre 1.76.
- Win, 3–2 at Bellinzona Snakes, after overtime, Oct 13. Odds: Bellinzona 4.18, Chaux-de-Fonds 1.53.
- Loss, 2–5 against Chur, Oct 6.
- Win, 6–2 at Olten, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-3
- 08:42 Goal La Chaux-de-Fonds: Schweri K. assists: Molin E. 0-1
- 12:17 Goal La Chaux-de-Fonds: Andersons T. assists: Matewa L., Schweri K. 0-2
- 12:45 Goal La Chaux-de-Fonds: Molin E. assists: Andersons T., In-Albon L. 0-3
2nd period0-2
- 05:59 Goal La Chaux-de-Fonds: Loosli J. assists: Kohler G., In-Albon L. 0-4
- 16:34 Goal SHG La Chaux-de-Fonds: Molin E. assists: Loosli J., Pinana C. 0-5
3rd period1-2
- 00:01 Goalie change Arosa: Wieczorek J. replaces Simeoni D.
- 06:16 Goal La Chaux-de-Fonds: Akeson J. assists: Damiani R., Achermann O. 0-6
- 15:47 Goal Arosa: Christen L. assists: Schena L. 1-6
- 18:40 Goal La Chaux-de-Fonds: Schweri K. assists: Pouilly B., Molin E. 1-7
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for La Chaux-de-Fonds coming into this game.
- In goal: Simeoni D. for Arosa (2-7-1 in the last 10 starts), Ruegger B. for La Chaux-de-Fonds (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
- The total moved down from 7.5 to 6.5 since it was first published.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for La Chaux-de-Fonds.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Arosa.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ARO) | 7.20 | 7.20 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.50 | 5.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (LCD) | 1.30 | 1.30 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 7.5 | 6.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap ARO | +2.5 | +2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Swiss League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sierre |
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 1.321 | 75 | 32 | +43 |
| 2 |  Basel |
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 1.107 | 51 | 40 | +11 |
| 3 |  Visp |
12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 1.167 | 47 | 18 | +29 |
| 4 |  Olten |
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 24 | .857 | 60 | 49 | +11 |
| 5 | La Chaux-de-Fonds |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 23 | .885 | 53 | 40 | +13 |
| 6 |  Thurgau |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 17 | .607 | 36 | 48 | −12 |
| 7 |  Chur |
14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 16 | .571 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 8 |  Bellinzona Snakes |
14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 13 | .464 | 33 | 48 | −15 |
| 9 | Arosa |
14 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 9 | .321 | 25 | 73 | −48 |
| 10 |  GCK Lions |
15 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 9 | .300 | 33 | 60 | −27 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Arosa host La Chaux-de-Fonds in the Swiss League on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.