Asiago vs Cortina prediction
Chance to win · 68% and 16% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Full game
- 1X2WonAsiagoodds down 1.83Confidence 60%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.29Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonAsiago -1.5odds down 2.23Confidence 62%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonAsiagoodds down 1.50Confidence 62%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonAsiago or drawodds down 1.32Confidence 84%
- Draw no betWonAsiagoodds down 1.45Confidence 80%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.06Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonAsiagoodds down 1.90Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.74Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 21% since they opened; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; the odds drifted 17% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min6–26%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–010%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (6%), 4-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Sep 26, 2026: Asiago 4, Cortina 3, after overtime.
- Dec 22, 2025: Cortina 5, Asiago 2.
- Nov 20, 2025: Cortina 5, Asiago 4, after overtime.
- Oct 23, 2025: Asiago 4, Cortina 2.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–5 at KHL Sisak, Oct 10. Odds: Sisak 2.65, Asiago 2.07.
- Win, 8–2 at Klagenfurt II, Oct 5.
- Win, 6–5 against Unterland, after a shootout, Oct 3.
- Win, 6–4 at Gherdeina, Oct 1.
- Win, 4–3 against Cortina, after overtime, Sep 26.
- Loss, 0–3 at Acroni Jesenice, Oct 10. Odds: Jesenice 1.80, Cortina 3.25.
- Loss, 1–3 against Salzburg 2, Oct 8.
- Loss, 1–3 against Merano, Oct 3.
- Win, 4–3 at Unterland, after overtime, Oct 1.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Asiago, after overtime, Sep 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 01:20 Goal Asiago: Porco N. assists: Valentini R., Szypula E. 1-0
2nd period3-1
- 02:23 Goal Asiago: Traversa T. assists: Rigoni A., Ferretti L. 2-0
- 03:44 Goal Cortina: Alvera T. assists: Kalajanniska O. 2-1
- 05:26 Goal Asiago: Rigoni F. assists: Tolomelli R., Rigoni A. 3-1
- 07:22 Goal Asiago: Szypula E. assists: Valentini R., Porco N. 4-1
3rd period2-1
- 00:39 Goal Asiago: Magnabosco M. assists: Pietroniro K., Parco A. 5-1
- 04:37 Goal PPG Asiago: Szypula E. assists: Traversa T., Valentini R. 6-1
- 19:28 Goal Cortina: Adami F. assists: Pastorello G., Eruzione D. 6-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Cortina coming into this game.
- In goal: Rigoni R. for Asiago (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts), Pompanin A. for Cortina.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Asiago.
- Head-to-head level at 2-2 after the last 4 meetings.
- 7.3 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ASI) | 1.50 | 1.45 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.20 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (COR) | 4.00 | 4.05 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6 | Line lowered |
| Handicap ASI | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Alps Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 1.125 | 59 | 30 | +29 | |
| 2 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 1.063 | 72 | 55 | +17 | |
| 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 1.154 | 48 | 32 | +16 | |
| 4 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 51 | 34 | +17 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 24 | .800 | 60 | 50 | +10 | |
| 6 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 19 | .731 | 30 | 37 | −7 | |
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 18 | .600 | 34 | 54 | −20 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .654 | 44 | 36 | +8 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 40 | 50 | −10 | |
| 10 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15 | .536 | 42 | 51 | −9 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 14 | .583 | 42 | 47 | −5 | |
| 12 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 10 | .385 | 34 | 57 | −23 | |
| 13 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .308 | 24 | 47 | −23 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Asiago host Cortina in the Alps Hockey League on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.