Asiago vs Kitzbuhel prediction
Chance to win · 51% and 30% in regulation
Rigoni R.Started6-3-1
Gratzer M.Started7-2-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonAsiagoodds down 1.72Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO5.5odds down 1.38Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonKitzbuhel +1.5odds up 1.46Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonAsiagoodds down 1.44Confidence 62%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonAsiago or drawodds down 1.43Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonAsiagoodds down 1.62Confidence 64%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.05Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostAsiagoodds down 2.12Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.58Confidence 59%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Asiago 4–3
Kitzbuhel Score details
- Correct scoreWon4–3After 60 min4–33%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-3
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (2%), 6-5 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonAsiago
Kitzbuhel
Head-to-head
Asiago 2–2
Kitzbuhel - Oct 25, 2026: Asiago 4, Kitzbuhel 2.
- Dec 26, 2025: Kitzbuhel 1, Asiago 4.
- Nov 29, 2025: Asiago 3, Kitzbuhel 4, after a shootout.
- Sep 25, 2025: Kitzbuhel 6, Asiago 3.
Last five games
Asiago
3-1-1 - Win, 5–4 at Unterland, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: Unterland 3.75, Asiago 1.50.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Ritten, after a shootout, Oct 18. Odds: Ritten 1.75, Asiago 2.90.
- Win, 6–2 against Cortina, Oct 15. Odds: Asiago 1.45, Cortina 4.05.
- Loss, 1–5 at KHL Sisak, Oct 10. Odds: Sisak 2.65, Asiago 2.07.
- Win, 8–2 at Klagenfurt II, Oct 5.
Kitzbuhel
3-2-0 - Win, 6–3 against Merano, Oct 17. Odds: Kitzbuhel 1.75, Merano 2.95.
- Loss, 1–3 at Acroni Jesenice, Oct 15. Odds: Jesenice 1.71, Kitzbuhel 3.31.
- Win, 8–2 at Salzburg 2, Oct 10. Odds: Salzburg II 1.80, Kitzbuhel 3.20.
- Win, 3–2 against KHL Sisak, Oct 8.
- Loss, 1–6 at Eisbaren, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 07:43 Goal Kitzbuhel: Engelhart J. assists: Ebner M., Krainz C. 0-1
- 08:58 Goal Asiago: Ferretti L. assists: Traversa T. 1-1
2nd period0-1
- 19:33 Goal Kitzbuhel: Holler A. 1-2
3rd period3-1
- 00:51 Goal PPG Asiago: Valentini R. assists: Calisti R., Porco N. 2-2
- 06:59 Goal Asiago: Szypula E. assists: Casetti L., Calisti R. 3-2
- 16:43 Goal PPG Asiago: Marchetti M. assists: Szypula E., Porco N. 4-2
- 17:40 Goal Kitzbuhel: Podlipnik M. assists: Lattner J. 4-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Kitzbuhel, 3 for Asiago.
- In goal: Rigoni R. for Asiago (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Gratzer M. for Kitzbuhel (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts).
- +1.7 goals at home — Asiago averaged 6.0 at home and 4.3 away this season.
- −2.0 goals away — Kitzbuhel averaged 5.2 at home and 3.3 away this season.
- Head-to-head level at 2-2 after the last 4 meetings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ASI) | 2.09 | 2.09 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KIT) | 2.50 | 2.50 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap ASI | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Alps Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Acroni Jesenice |
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 1.125 | 59 | 30 | +29 |
| 2 | Asiago |
16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 1.063 | 72 | 55 | +17 |
| 3 |  Eisbaren |
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 1.154 | 48 | 32 | +16 |
| 4 |  Ritten |
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 51 | 34 | +17 |
| 5 | Kitzbuhel |
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 24 | .800 | 60 | 50 | +10 |
| 6 |  Merano |
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 19 | .731 | 30 | 37 | −7 |
| 7 |  Salzburg 2 |
15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 18 | .600 | 34 | 54 | −20 |
| 8 |  KHL Sisak |
13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .654 | 44 | 36 | +8 |
| 9 |  Gherdeina |
13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 40 | 50 | −10 |
| 10 |  Unterland |
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15 | .536 | 42 | 51 | −9 |
| 11 |  Vipiteno |
12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 14 | .583 | 42 | 47 | −5 |
| 12 |  Klagenfurt II |
13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 10 | .385 | 34 | 57 | −23 |
| 13 |  Cortina |
13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .308 | 24 | 47 | −23 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Asiago host Kitzbuhel in the Alps Hockey League on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.