Asploven vs Pitea prediction
Chance to win · 31% and 49% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonPiteaodds down 1.64Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO5.51.70Confidence 52%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonAsploven +2.51.38Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonPiteaodds down 1.36Confidence 62%
- Double chanceWonPitea or drawodds down 1.28Confidence 70%
- Draw no betWonPiteaodds down 1.36Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostPitea2.11Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.25Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreWon2–4After 60 min2–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period1–018%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-4
- By period 0-1, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-4 (4%), 3-4 (3%), 3-5 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Oct 23, 2026: Pitea 2, Asploven 3.
Last five games
- Win, 3–2 at Pitea, Oct 23. Odds: Pitea 1.40, Asploven 5.30.
- Win, 5–1 at Jarfalla, Oct 18. Odds: Jarfalla 1.83, Asploven 2.95.
- Loss, 0–1 at Enkoping, Oct 17. Odds: Enkoping 2.40, Asploven 2.26.
- Loss, 1–4 against Borlange, Oct 10.
- Win, 5–3 at Sollentuna, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–3 against Asploven, Oct 23. Odds: Pitea 1.40, Asploven 5.30.
- Win, 5–4 at Borlange, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Borlange 2.23, Pitea 2.39.
- Win, 4–2 against Norrtalje, Oct 11.
- Win, 4–3 against Stromsbro IF, after a shootout, Oct 10. Odds: Pitea 1.74, Stromsbro 3.00.
- Loss, 3–6 at Jarfalla, Oct 4.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 15:29 Goal Asploven: Ylivainio J. 1-0
2nd period0-4
- 03:50 Goal PPG Pitea: Astrom V. assists: Bramberg O., Bolin N. 1-1
- 14:03 Goal Pitea: Falk A. assists: Cederholm L., Soderberg Nelson J. 1-2
- 16:02 Goal PPG Pitea: Holmstrom I. assists: Astrom V., Bramberg O. 1-3
- 19:09 Goal Pitea: Bjork C. assists: Lindfors W., Bramberg O. 1-4
3rd period1-0
- 08:44 Goal Asploven: Eronen J. assists: Fellman P. 2-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Asploven and Pitea played yesterday.
- 13th vs 5th in the HockeyEttan Norra standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ASP) | 3.96 | 4.35 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.45 | 4.55 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (PIT) | 1.61 | 1.53 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap ASP | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HockeyEttan Norra standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 1.300 | 62 | 13 | +49 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 45 | 27 | +18 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 1.000 | 47 | 35 | +12 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1.050 | 37 | 28 | +9 | |
| 5 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 1.000 | 37 | 29 | +8 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | .833 | 36 | 28 | +8 | |
| 7 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | .818 | 22 | 23 | −1 | |
| 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 26 | 18 | +8 | |
| 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | .944 | 31 | 28 | +3 | |
| 10 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17 | .708 | 33 | 34 | −1 | |
| 11 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17 | .773 | 36 | 39 | −3 | |
| 12 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 20 | 23 | −3 | |
| 13 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | .682 | 25 | 33 | −8 | |
| 14 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14 | .583 | 28 | 31 | −3 | |
| 15 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13 | .650 | 35 | 36 | −1 | |
| 16 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | .500 | 26 | 44 | −18 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .318 | 24 | 40 | −16 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | .300 | 23 | 41 | −18 | |
| 19 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3 | .136 | 15 | 58 | −43 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Asploven host Pitea in the HockeyEttan Norra on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.