Assat U20 vs Lukko U20 prediction
Chance to win · 27% and 51% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostLukko U20odds down 1.75Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU5.5odds up 1.54Confidence 64%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonAssat U20 +1.51.52Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostLukko U20odds down 1.45Confidence 64%
- Double chanceLostLukko U20 or drawodds down 1.23Confidence 73%
- Draw no betLostLukko U20Confidence 67%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonLukko U20odds down 2.31Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Assat U20 2–3
Lukko U20 Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min4–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–11st period0–119%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-1, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonAssat U20
Lukko U20
Head-to-head
Assat U20 3–2
Lukko U20 - Mar 4, 2026: Assat U20 2, Lukko U20 1.
- Feb 11, 2026: Lukko U20 5, Assat U20 4.
- Sep 12, 2025: Lukko U20 2, Assat U20 1, after a shootout.
- Sep 5, 2025: Assat U20 2, Lukko U20 1.
- Dec 21, 2024: Assat U20 3, Lukko U20 1.
Last five games
Assat U20
2-3-0 - Loss, 1–6 at IFK Helsinki U20, Oct 16. Odds: HIFK U20 1.70, Assat U20 3.30.
- Loss, 3–6 at Kiekko-Espoo U20, Oct 15. Odds: K-Espoo U20 1.58, Assat U20 4.00.
- Loss, 3–6 against Tappara U20, Oct 10.
- Win, 5–3 at Vaasan Sport U20, Oct 9. Odds: Sport U20 2.40, Assat U20 2.25.
- Win, 2–1 against IFK Helsinki U20, after a shootout, Oct 3.
Lukko U20
5-0-0 - Win, 3–2 at Hameenlinna U20, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: HPK U20 1.62, Lukko U20 3.60.
- Win, 5–0 against KooKoo U20, Oct 16. Odds: Lukko U20 1.50, KooKoo U20 4.55.
- Win, 4–1 at Ilves U20, Oct 10.
- Win, 6–4 against RoKi U20, Oct 9. Odds: Lukko U20 1.15, RoKi U20 10.00.
- Win, 4–1 at RoKi U20, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Lukko U20 coming into this game.
- 3-game losing streak for Assat U20 coming into this game.
- 6-2-0 away for Lukko U20 this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Assat U20.
- 4.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ASS) | 3.80 | 3.80 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (LUK) | 1.62 | 1.62 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 5 | Line raised |
| Handicap ASS | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  IFK Helsinki U20 |
18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 |
| 2 |  Pelicans Lahti U20 |
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 |
| 3 |  Karpat U20 |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 |
| 4 |  Jukurit U20 |
18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 |
| 5 |  Kiekko-Espoo U20 |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 |
| 6 |  Tappara U20 |
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 |
| 7 | Lukko U20 |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 8 |  Hameenlinna U20 |
14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 |
| 9 |  TPS U20 |
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 |
| 10 |  Jokerit U20 |
18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 |
| 11 |  Ilves U20 |
16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 |
| 12 |  KalPa U20 |
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 |
| 13 |  Vaasan Sport U20 |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 |
| 14 |  SaiPa U20 |
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 |
| 15 |  Jyvaskyla U20 |
16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 |
| 16 | Assat U20 |
16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 |
| 17 |  KooKoo U20 |
17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 |
| 18 |  RoKi U20 |
18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Assat U20 host Lukko U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.