Assat vs IFK Helsinki Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

O3.5 1.30

Confidence75%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Full game

1X2WonAssatodds down 2.32Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO3.51.30Confidence 75%
HandicapWonHIFK +1.51.33Confidence 68%
Winner (incl. OT)WonAssatodds up 1.75Confidence 56%
Double chanceWonAssat or drawodds down 1.44Confidence 68%
Draw no betWonAssatodds down 1.75Confidence 57%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.13Confidence 84%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.42Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5odds down 1.19Confidence 79%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Assat 32

HIFK

Final 3–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Decided in regulation

ASS to winTo win 54% ASS won

Score details

Correct scoreWon3–2After 60 min3–24%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period2–122%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record9-7-27-6-4

Home / road split4-3-13-4-2

StreakL4W3

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for2.32.8

Goals against2.53.1

In the standings5th11th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.6+0.5

Goals for1.92.9

Goals against2.52.4

Shots on goal22.323.7

Shots against23.325.1

Shooting %8.5%12.2%

Save %90.6%90.4%

Power-play %21.7%20.0%

Penalty kill %77.8%84.6%

Faceoff %51.0%50.7%

Penalty minutes5.412.0

Blocked shots9.77.3

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Assat 14

HIFK

IFK Helsinki won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.2 ASS 2.2 · HEL 3.0

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 4 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in a shootout

Feb 28, 2026: Assat 1, IFK Helsinki 4.
Dec 3, 2025: IFK Helsinki 4, Assat 2.
Nov 1, 2025: IFK Helsinki 3, Assat 0.
Oct 18, 2025: Assat 5, IFK Helsinki 0.
Feb 26, 2025: Assat 3, IFK Helsinki 4, after a shootout.

Last five games

Assat 1-4-0

Loss, 3–5 at KooKoo, Oct 28. Odds: KooKoo 3.20, Assat 1.86.
Loss, 1–4 at JYP, Oct 24. Odds: JYP 2.01, Assat 2.85.
Loss, 0–3 at Tappara, Oct 21. Odds: Tappara 2.15, Assat 2.75.
Loss, 2–4 against TPS Turku, Oct 17. Odds: Assat 2.40, TPS 2.61.
Win, 4–2 at Jokerit, Oct 16. Odds: Jokerit 2.14, Assat 3.04.

HIFK 3-1-1

Win, 2–1 against Ilves, Oct 28. Odds: HIFK 2.55, Ilves 2.25.
Win, 6–3 at Hameenlinna, Oct 24. Odds: HPK 2.45, HIFK 2.35.
Win, 3–0 at Kiekko-Espoo, Oct 23. Odds: Kiekko-Espoo 1.96, HIFK 3.00.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Lukko, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: Lukko 1.62, HIFK 3.55.
Loss, 1–7 at SaiPa, Oct 17. Odds: SaiPa 1.83, HIFK 3.68.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period2-1

07:28 2 min Assat: Doucet A. Holding
11:11 Goal Assat: Tiivola P. assists: Lipiainen V., Jurgens C. 1-0
12:01 Goal IFK Helsinki: Melart I. assists: Huuhtanen N., Pakarinen I. 1-1
17:45 Goal Assat: Doucet A. assists: Tiivola P., Lipiainen V. 2-1

2nd period0-0

00:33 2 min Assat: Nikkila P. Slashing
09:56 2 min IFK Helsinki: Puutio K. Tripping
11:49 2 min IFK Helsinki: — Too many men on the ice
12:38 2 min Assat: Hillis C. Interference
20:00 2 min IFK Helsinki: Liukas E. Roughing

3rd period1-1

00:32 Goal PPG Assat: Doucet A. assists: Hillis C., Kostilainen S. 3-1
05:12 2 min Assat: Lipiainen V. Slashing
07:06 Goal PPG IFK Helsinki: Pakarinen I. assists: Huuhtanen N., Kiviharju A. 3-2
16:22 2 min Assat: Kostilainen S. Tripping

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

4-game losing streak for Assat coming into this game.
3-game winning streak for IFK Helsinki coming into this game.
In goal: Bednar J. for Assat (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts), Alnefelt H. for IFK Helsinki (5-3-2 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Assat −0.6, IFK Helsinki +0.5 over their recent games.
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for IFK Helsinki.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (ASS)	2.25	2.20	Shortened
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.00	No change
1X2: 2 (HEL)	2.55	2.65	Drifted
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change
Handicap ASS	−1.5	−0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Assat vs IFK Helsinki prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details