Assat vs TPS Turku Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

O3.5 1.28

Confidence72%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Full game

1X2LostAssat2.32Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO3.5odds down 1.28Confidence 72%
HandicapWonTPS +1.5odds up 1.29Confidence 66%
Winner (incl. OT)LostAssatodds up 1.78Confidence 60%
Double chanceLostAssat or drawodds up 1.40Confidence 70%
Draw no betLostAssatodds up 1.70Confidence 62%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.14Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.40Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.51.67Confidence 57%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Assat 32

TPS

Final 2–4

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 6

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Decided in regulation

ASS to winTo win 58% TUR won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–44%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–023%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record9-3-27-5-1

Home / road split4-2-12-4-1

StreakW2W2

RestBack-to-backBack-to-back

Goals for2.52.8

Goals against2.12.3

In the standings5th8th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.1+0.2

Goals for2.02.6

Goals against2.12.4

Shots on goal23.025.4

Shots against23.618.8

Shooting %8.7%10.2%

Save %91.1%88.8%

Power-play %18.2%18.2%

Penalty kill %77.8%84.8%

Faceoff %50.9%48.6%

Penalty minutes5.46.6

Blocked shots9.413.3

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Assat 50

TPS

Assat won five of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.8 ASS 4.6 · TUR 2.2

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 4 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Mar 14, 2026: TPS Turku 2, Assat 5.
Mar 13, 2026: Assat 6, TPS Turku 2.
Nov 15, 2025: Assat 2, TPS Turku 1, after overtime.
Nov 14, 2025: TPS Turku 3, Assat 4.
Feb 15, 2025: Assat 6, TPS Turku 3.

Last five games

Assat 4-0-1

Win, 4–2 at Jokerit, Oct 16. Odds: Jokerit 2.14, Assat 3.04.
Win, 1–0 at KalPa, Oct 14. Odds: KalPa 2.81, Assat 2.32.
Overtime loss, 2–3 against Hameenlinna, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Assat 1.88, HPK 3.50.
Win, 1–0 at Jukurit, Oct 7.
Win, 5–2 at Lukko, Oct 3.

TPS 3-1-1

Win, 4–2 against Kiekko-Espoo, Oct 16. Odds: TPS 2.19, Kiekko-Espoo 2.91.
Win, 4–3 at IFK Helsinki, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: HIFK 2.95, TPS 2.13.
Overtime loss, 3–4 at Tappara, after a shootout, Oct 10.
Win, 4–1 against JYP, Oct 3.
Loss, 2–4 at Kiekko-Espoo, Sep 30.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

07:54 2 min Assat: Nikkila P. Holding the stick
09:37 Goal SHG Assat: Kostilainen S. assists: Juhola P. 1-0

2nd period1-2

01:39 Goal Assat: Doucet A. assists: Pinard S., Riihinen P. 2-0
06:48 Goal TPS Turku: Wernblom L. 2-1
11:27 Goal TPS Turku: Virtanen J. assists: Paajanen O., Landen A. 2-2

3rd period0-2

06:16 2 min TPS Turku: Tuhkala A. Tripping
18:11 Goal TPS Turku: Ikonen Jo. assists: Virtanen J., Makiniemi E. 2-3
19:21 Goal ENG TPS Turku: Bryggman L. assists: Lindbohm P. 2-4

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Second game in two days for both teams — Assat and TPS Turku played yesterday.
5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Assat.
In goal: Bednar J. for Assat (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts), Makiniemi E. for TPS Turku (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
−1.5 goals away — TPS Turku averaged 3.7 at home and 2.1 away this season.
4-0-1 in the last five for Assat.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (ASS)	2.40	2.40	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.70	3.70	No change
1X2: 2 (TUR)	2.61	2.61	No change
Over/Under line	5	5	No change
Handicap ASS	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Assat vs TPS Turku prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details