Austria vs USA Prediction & Picks

WCH Women Monday, November 9, 2026Mon · Nov 9

HomeAustria0-4-05th in the standingsLLWWL

111 FT Puck drop 13:00 ET

1st 2nd 3rd

AUS 0 0 1

USA 4 4 3

Granly Hockey Arena (Esbjerg)Granly Hockey Arena (Esbjerg)

AwayUSA3-0-01st in the standingsWWWLW

5%Austria win · 3% in regulationAUS Overtime or shootout · 6%OT / SO 6% 95%USA win · 91% in regulationUSA

Chance to win · 3% and 91% in regulation

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Lost

Austria +8.5 1.34

Confidence63%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%

Full game

1X2WonUSAConfidence 65%
Over/UnderLostU8.5odds down 1.42Confidence 69%
Best tip of the game: HandicapLostAustria +8.5odds down 1.34Confidence 63%
Winner (incl. OT)WonUSAConfidence 65%
Double chanceWonUSA or drawConfidence 66%
Draw no betWonUSAConfidence 65%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 4.40Confidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonUSA1.06Confidence 61%
1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5odds up 1.55Confidence 61%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 1 games; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Austria 14

USA

Final 1–11

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 12

Draw after 60 minDraw 6% Decided in regulation

USA to winTo win 95% USA won

Score details

Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min1–117%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period0–422%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · all three28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-4
By period 0-1, 1-2, 0-1
Likeliest 1-4 (7%), 1-5 (6%), 1-6 (5%)

Last five games

Austria 2-3-0

Loss, 0–2 at Germany, Nov 7. Odds: Germany 1.35, Austria 7.00.
Loss, 1–4 against Czech Republic, Nov 6. Odds: Austria 26.00, Czech 1.03.
Win, 3–1 against Italy, Aug 22.
Win, 2–0 at Netherlands, Aug 21.
Loss, 2–5 against Slovakia, Aug 20.

USA 4-1-0

Win, 5–0 against Germany, Nov 8. Odds: USA –, Germany 55.00.
Win, 7–0 at Switzerland, Nov 6. Odds: Switzerland 35.00, USA 1.01.
Win, 4–0 against Canada, Oct 30. Odds: USA 1.75, Canada 3.20.
Loss, 3–5 at Canada, Oct 28. Odds: Canada 3.50, USA 1.65.
Win, 4–1 at Canada, Dec 13, 2025.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-4

09:08 Goal USA: Harvey C. assists: Fox T. 0-1
12:59 Goal USA: Knight H. assists: Barnes C., Eden L. 0-2
16:46 Goal USA: Harvey C. assists: O'Brien C. 0-3
17:08 Goal USA: Janecke T. assists: Guilday R., Dunne J. 0-4

2nd period0-4

00:09 Goal USA: Janecke T. assists: Carpenter A., Dunne J. 0-5
02:49 2 min Austria: Grascher T. Tripping
05:04 Goal USA: Dunne J. assists: Fox T., Bilka H. 0-6
15:49 Goal USA: Eden L. assists: Harvey C., Janecke T. 0-7
17:08 Goal USA: Keller M. assists: Dunne J., Pannek K. 0-8

3rd period1-3

08:46 Goal USA: Knight H. assists: Edwards L., Keller M. 0-9
11:17 Goal USA: Guilday R. assists: Edwards L., Murphy A. 0-10
13:40 Goal USA: Harvey C. 0-11
14:35 Goal Austria: Fazokas A. assists: Daubock L. 1-11
15:57 2 min Austria: — Too many men on the ice

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (AUS)	55.00	55.00	No change
1X2: X (draw)	25.00	25.00	No change
Over/Under line	7.5	7	Line lowered
Handicap AUS	+6.5	+6.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

WCH Women standings

Regular Season · Group A

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	USA	3	3	0	0	9	1.500	23	1	+22
2	Czech Republic	3	1	0	2	5	.833	6	5	+1
3	Germany	3	2	1	0	5	.833	4	6	−2
4	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	5	.833	6	10	−4
5	Austria	4	0	4	0	0	.000	4	21	−17

Playoffs
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Austria host USA in the WCH Women on Monday, November 9, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.