Avangard Omsk vs Novosibirsk prediction
Chance to win · 44% and 32% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostAvangard Omskodds up 1.56Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.26Confidence 77%
- HandicapWonNovosibirsk +2.5odds down 1.35Confidence 75%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonAvangard Omskodds up 1.31Confidence 58%
- Double chanceWonAvangard Omsk or drawodds up 1.14Confidence 70%
- Draw no betPushAvangard Omskodds up 1.26Confidence 61%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.16Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.64Confidence 61%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–1After 60 min3–36%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–025%chance
- Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals2nd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-1
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-0
- Likeliest 3-1 (6%), 2-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Mar 9, 2026: Avangard Omsk 1, Novosibirsk 2, after a shootout.
- Feb 20, 2026: Avangard Omsk 2, Novosibirsk 1, after a shootout.
- Jan 4, 2026: Novosibirsk 2, Avangard Omsk 5.
- Dec 16, 2025: Novosibirsk 4, Avangard Omsk 2.
- Dec 17, 2024: Novosibirsk 3, Avangard Omsk 5.
Last five games
- Win, 2–1 against CSKA Moscow, after overtime, Nov 5. Odds: Avangard Omsk 2.95, CSKA Moscow 2.18.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Sochi, after overtime, Nov 1. Odds: Sochi 5.00, Avangard Omsk 1.56.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Lada, after overtime, Oct 30. Odds: Lada 5.00, Avangard Omsk 1.56.
- Win, 4–0 at Bars Kazan, Oct 28. Odds: Ak Bars Kazan 2.81, Avangard Omsk 2.24.
- Win, 3–2 at Dynamo Moscow, after overtime, Oct 26. Odds: Dynamo Moscow 2.50, Avangard Omsk 2.48.
- Win, 3–1 against Bars Kazan, Nov 4. Odds: Novosibirsk 2.75, Ak Bars Kazan 2.25.
- Loss, 1–3 against Niznekamsk, Nov 1. Odds: Novosibirsk 2.64, Niznekamsk 2.32.
- Win, 5–2 against Magnitogorsk, Oct 29. Odds: Novosibirsk 4.10, Magnitogorsk 1.72.
- Loss, 1–2 at Tractor Chelyabinsk, Oct 26. Odds: Tractor 1.91, Novosibirsk 3.45.
- Loss, 1–5 at Magnitogorsk, Oct 24. Odds: Magnitogorsk 1.53, Novosibirsk 5.48.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 01:06 Goal Avangard Omsk: Poturalski A. assists: Lajoie M., Leivo J. 1-0
- 02:08 2 min Novosibirsk: Tyutnev P. High sticking
- 03:03 2 min Avangard Omsk: Prokhorkin N. High sticking
- 03:27 2 min Avangard Omsk: McLeod M. High sticking
2nd period2-1
- 00:26 Goal Avangard Omsk: Cecconi J. 2-0
- 00:26 2 min Novosibirsk: — Delay of game
- 01:10 2 min Avangard Omsk: Sharipzyanov D. Interference
- 02:34 Goal PPG Novosibirsk: Nikulin S. assists: Dietz D., Yaremchuk A. 2-1
- 16:17 2 min Novosibirsk: Dietz D. Tripping
- 18:11 Goal PPG Avangard Omsk: Chistyakov S. assists: Prokhorkin N., Rashevsky D. 3-1
3rd period0-2
- 04:49 2 min Novosibirsk: Nekolenko A. Tripping
- 14:45 2 min Avangard Omsk: Adamchuk K. Slashing
- 15:51 2 min Avangard Omsk: Cecconi J. Interference
- 16:52 Goal PPG Novosibirsk: Korshkov Y. 3-2
- 19:36 Goal Novosibirsk: Koshelev S. assists: Korshkov Y., Nekolenko A. 3-3
Overtime1-0
- 01:08 Goal Avangard Omsk: McLeod M. assists: Poturalski A., Okulov K. 4-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Avangard Omsk.
- +1.0 goals at home — Avangard Omsk averaged 2.5 at home and 1.5 away this season.
- Power play vs penalty kill: 28.0% on the power play for Avangard Omsk, 73.9% on the penalty kill for Novosibirsk.
- 5.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
- 2nd vs 6th in the KHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (AVA) | 1.65 | 1.69 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.40 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (NOV) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 4.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap AVA | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Chernyshev Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 26 | .520 | 72 | 73 | −1 | |
| 2 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 26 | .565 | 46 | 55 | −9 | |
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 46 | 38 | +8 | |
| 4 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 25 | .521 | 76 | 66 | +10 | |
| 5 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 61 | 64 | −3 | |
| 6 | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 22 | .423 | 58 | 77 | −19 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Avangard Omsk host Novosibirsk in the KHL on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.