Avangard Omsk vs Tractor Chelyabinsk prediction
Chance to win · 37% and 40% in regulation
Serebryakov N.StartedSV 91.7% · GAA 2.50 · 4-5-1
Nikolayev D.StartedSV 92% · GAA 2.70 · 4-3-3All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 59%Full game
- 1X2LostTractorodds up 3.20Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.51.62Confidence 52%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonTractor +1.5odds up 1.45Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostTractorodds up 2.36Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonTractor or drawodds up 1.78Confidence 66%
- Draw no betPushTractorodds up 2.49Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.13Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds down 2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds up 1.64Confidence 59%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Avangard Omsk 2–3
Tractor Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–024%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-0, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-4 (3%), 2-4 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formAvangard Omsk
Tractor Chelyabinsk
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Avangard Omsk 4–1
Tractor - Sep 20, 2026: Tractor Chelyabinsk 2, Avangard Omsk 1.
- Feb 15, 2026: Avangard Omsk 6, Tractor Chelyabinsk 2.
- Jan 29, 2026: Avangard Omsk 1, Tractor Chelyabinsk 0.
- Jan 18, 2026: Tractor Chelyabinsk 2, Avangard Omsk 5.
- Nov 13, 2025: Avangard Omsk 3, Tractor Chelyabinsk 2.
Last five games
Avangard Omsk
3-2-0 - Win, 4–2 against Yekaterinburg, Oct 16. Odds: Avangard Omsk 2.15, Yekaterinburg 2.75.
- Loss, 1–5 at Barys Astana, Oct 10. Odds: Barys Astana 3.05, Avangard Omsk 2.00.
- Win, 1–0 at Niznekamsk, Oct 8.
- Loss, 0–4 at Yekaterinburg, Oct 6.
- Win, 4–1 against Lada, Oct 2.
Tractor
1-3-1 - Overtime loss, 2–3 at Niznekamsk, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Niznekamsk 2.14, Tractor 2.75.
- Win, 6–2 at Shanghai, Oct 14. Odds: Shanghai 2.02, Tractor 2.95.
- Loss, 1–2 against Novosibirsk, Oct 10. Odds: Tractor 1.92, Novosibirsk 3.30.
- Loss, 0–2 against Khabarovsk, Oct 8.
- Loss, 1–2 against Khabarovsk, Oct 6.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 05:14 5 min Tractor Chelyabinsk: Legare N. Slashing
- 08:21 2 min Avangard Omsk: — Too many men on the ice
- 17:52 2 min Avangard Omsk: Poturalski A. Hooking
2nd period0-0
- 01:40 2 min Avangard Omsk: Rashevsky D. High sticking
- 06:57 2 min Tractor Chelyabinsk: Vydrenkov I. Tripping
- 11:40 2 min Avangard Omsk: Dolzhenkov K. High sticking
- 18:10 2 min Tractor Chelyabinsk: Dronov G. Tripping
3rd period1-1
- 00:08 Goal PPG Avangard Omsk: Leivo J. assists: Sharipzyanov D. 1-0
- 07:33 2 min Avangard Omsk: Ilyenko A. Tripping
- 09:07 Goal PPG Tractor Chelyabinsk: Nizameyev A. assists: Dronov G., Soshnikov N. 1-1
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout2-1
-
Round 1
Okulov K.
✗missed
Gorbunov S.
✓scored
-
Round 2
Poturalski A.
✓scored
Svetlakov A.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Leivo J.
✗missed
Nizameyev A.
✗missed
-
Round 4
Poturalski A.
✗missed
Gorbunov S.
✗missed
-
Round 5
Okulov K.
✗missed
Grigorenko M.
✗missed
-
Round 6
Leivo J.
✗missed
Soshnikov N.
✗missed
-
Round 7
McLeod M.
✗missed
Gorbunov S.
✗missed
-
Round 8
Poturalski A.
✗missed
Nizameyev A.
✗missed
-
Round 9
Burlaka G.
✓scored
Legare N.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Serebryakov N. for Avangard Omsk (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts), Nikolayev D. for Tractor Chelyabinsk (4-3-3 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.4 per game — Avangard Omsk −1.1, Tractor Chelyabinsk +0.3 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Avangard Omsk.
- +1.7 goals at home — Avangard Omsk averaged 2.7 at home and 1.0 away this season.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Tractor Chelyabinsk.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (AVA) | 1.90 | 1.91 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.99 | 3.98 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (TRA) | 3.41 | 3.40 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap AVA | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Magnitogorsk |
25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 38 | .760 | 87 | 57 | +30 |
| 2 |  Niznekamsk |
26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 31 | .596 | 71 | 71 | 0 |
| 3 |  Salavat Ufa |
25 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 26 | .520 | 72 | 73 | −1 |
| 4 | Tractor Chelyabinsk |
25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 26 | .520 | 57 | 62 | −5 |
| 5 |  Bars Kazan |
26 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 26 | .500 | 60 | 63 | −3 |
| 6 | Avangard Omsk |
23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 26 | .565 | 46 | 55 | −9 |
| 7 |  Khabarovsk |
23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 46 | 38 | +8 |
| 8 |  Barys Astana |
24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 25 | .521 | 76 | 66 | +10 |
| 9 |  Yekaterinburg |
23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 62 | 58 | +4 |
| 10 |  Vladivostok |
23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 61 | 64 | −3 |
| 11 |  Novosibirsk |
26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 22 | .423 | 58 | 77 | −19 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Avangard Omsk host Tractor Chelyabinsk in the KHL on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.