Avangard Omsk vs Yekaterinburg prediction
Chance to win · 33% and 44% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2LostYekaterinburgodds down 2.76Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.63Confidence 54%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostYekaterinburg +1.51.33Confidence 73%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostYekaterinburgodds down 2.06Confidence 53%
- Double chanceLostYekaterinburg or draw1.59Confidence 69%
- Draw no betLostYekaterinburgodds down 2.12Confidence 54%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.12Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.50Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.64Confidence 59%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 7% since they opened; the odds drifted 5% since they opened; the odds drifted 6% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min4–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period2–024%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-0, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-4 (4%), 2-4 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 6, 2026: Yekaterinburg 4, Avangard Omsk 0.
- Sep 15, 2026: Avangard Omsk 3, Yekaterinburg 2, after overtime.
- Feb 24, 2026: Yekaterinburg 5, Avangard Omsk 1.
- Feb 5, 2026: Avangard Omsk 2, Yekaterinburg 3, after overtime.
- Jan 22, 2026: Yekaterinburg 1, Avangard Omsk 2, after overtime.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–5 at Barys Astana, Oct 10. Odds: Barys Astana 3.05, Avangard Omsk 2.00.
- Win, 1–0 at Niznekamsk, Oct 8.
- Loss, 0–4 at Yekaterinburg, Oct 6.
- Win, 4–1 against Lada, Oct 2.
- Loss, 1–5 against Magnitogorsk, Sep 28.
- Loss, 1–4 at Barys Astana, Oct 14. Odds: Barys Astana 2.45, Yekaterinburg 2.37.
- Win, 4–0 against Avangard Omsk, Oct 6.
- Loss, 0–3 against Khabarovsk, Oct 4.
- Win, 3–0 against Khabarovsk, Oct 2.
- Win, 3–1 against Lada, Sep 30.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 05:21 2 min Avangard Omsk: Cecconi J. High sticking
- 09:28 2 min Yekaterinburg: Sharov A. Hooking
- 09:37 Goal PPG Avangard Omsk: McLeod M. assists: Leivo J., Poturalski A. 1-0
- 11:39 Goal Avangard Omsk: McLeod M. assists: Afanasyev Y., Okulov K. 2-0
2nd period0-1
- 03:26 2 min Avangard Omsk: Afanasyev Y. Holding
- 09:33 Goal Yekaterinburg: Sprong D. assists: Barabanov A., Gross J. 2-1
- 18:05 2 min Yekaterinburg: Denezhkin M. Hooking
- 18:42 2 min Avangard Omsk: Okulov K. Hooking
3rd period2-1
- 00:50 Goal Avangard Omsk: Ponomaryov V. assists: Okulov K., Yakupov N. 3-1
- 17:45 Goal ENG Avangard Omsk: McLeod M. 4-1
- 19:30 2 min Avangard Omsk: Adamchuk K. High sticking
- 19:41 Goal PPG Yekaterinburg: Sprong D. assists: Gross J., Barabanov A. 4-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Avangard Omsk, 1 for Yekaterinburg.
- 2-5-1 away for Yekaterinburg this season.
- In goal: Prosvetov I. for Avangard Omsk (3-4-0 in the last 7 starts), Alikin Y. for Yekaterinburg (6-2-2 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.0 per game — Avangard Omsk −1.2, Yekaterinburg −0.2 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Yekaterinburg.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (AVA) | 2.15 | 2.15 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.95 | 3.95 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (YEK) | 2.75 | 2.75 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap AVA | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 38 | .760 | 87 | 57 | +30 | |
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 31 | .596 | 71 | 71 | 0 | |
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 26 | .520 | 72 | 73 | −1 | |
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 26 | .520 | 57 | 62 | −5 | |
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 26 | .500 | 60 | 63 | −3 | |
| 6 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 26 | .565 | 46 | 55 | −9 | |
| 7 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 46 | 38 | +8 | |
| 8 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 25 | .521 | 76 | 66 | +10 | |
| 9 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 62 | 58 | +4 | |
| 10 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 61 | 64 | −3 | |
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 22 | .423 | 58 | 77 | −19 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Avangard Omsk host Yekaterinburg in the KHL on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.