Bakersfield Condors vs Calgary Wranglers prediction
Chance to win · 50% and 29% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostBakersfieldodds down 2.26Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.30Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonCalgary +1.5odds up 1.30Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostBakersfieldodds down 1.80Confidence 61%
- Double chanceLostBakersfield or drawodds down 1.45Confidence 69%
- Draw no betLostBakersfieldodds down 1.80Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.06Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostBakersfieldodds down 2.65Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.73Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 4 games; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Bakersfield 3–2
Calgary Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min3–43%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formBakersfield Condors
Calgary Wranglers
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Bakersfield 2–3
Calgary - Nov 10, 2026: Bakersfield Condors 2, Calgary Wranglers 4.
- Oct 11, 2026: Calgary Wranglers 4, Bakersfield Condors 5.
- Oct 9, 2026: Calgary Wranglers 2, Bakersfield Condors 1.
- Mar 21, 2026: Bakersfield Condors 1, Calgary Wranglers 0.
- Feb 20, 2026: Bakersfield Condors 4, Calgary Wranglers 5, after overtime.
Last five games
Bakersfield
2-3-0 - Win, 5–4 at Calgary Wranglers, Oct 11. Odds: Calgary 2.14, Bakersfield 2.60.
- Loss, 1–2 at Calgary Wranglers, Oct 9. Odds: Calgary 2.10, Bakersfield 2.70.
- Win, 3–1 at Henderson Silver Knights, Oct 4.
- Loss, 3–4 at Henderson Silver Knights, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–6 at Coachella Valley Firebirds, Apr 26.
Calgary
3-2-0 - Loss, 4–5 at San Jose Barracuda, Oct 16. Odds: San Jose 2.21, Calgary 2.48.
- Win, 6–4 at San Jose Barracuda, Oct 14. Odds: San Jose 2.42, Calgary 2.35.
- Loss, 4–5 against Bakersfield Condors, Oct 11. Odds: Calgary 2.14, Bakersfield 2.60.
- Win, 2–1 against Bakersfield Condors, Oct 9. Odds: Calgary 2.10, Bakersfield 2.70.
- Win, 4–2 against Abbotsford Canucks, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 08:06 Goal PPG Calgary Wranglers: Kerins R. assists: Hunt D., Stromgren W. 0-1
2nd period2-1
- 06:27 Goal PPG Bakersfield Condors: Carfagna D. assists: Raty Aku 1-1
- 07:19 Goal SHG Bakersfield Condors: Robertson T. 2-1
- 07:58 Goal PPG Calgary Wranglers: Jones B. assists: Hunt D., Brzustewicz H. 2-2
3rd period1-2
- 05:58 Goal PPG Calgary Wranglers: Basha A. assists: Zary C., Philp L. 2-3
- 09:30 Goal PPG Calgary Wranglers: Kerins R. assists: Stromgren W., Brzustewicz H. 2-4
- 14:30 Goal Bakersfield Condors: Stillman R. assists: Tralmaks E., Robertson T. 3-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Calgary Wranglers, who played yesterday.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Calgary Wranglers.
- 5.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
- 10th vs 4th in the AHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BAK) | 2.12 | 2.12 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.70 | 3.70 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (CAL) | 2.45 | 2.45 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap BAK | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Pacific Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tucson Roadrunners |
13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 43 | 28 | +15 |
| 2 |  Abbotsford Canucks |
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18 | .692 | 45 | 36 | +9 |
| 3 |  Colorado Eagles |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 18 | .600 | 44 | 38 | +6 |
| 4 | Calgary Wranglers |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 16 | .533 | 48 | 45 | +3 |
| 5 |  Henderson Silver Knights |
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 16 | .667 | 28 | 24 | +4 |
| 6 |  Coachella Valley Firebirds |
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | .500 | 42 | 50 | −8 |
| 7 |  Ontario Reign |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 13 | .464 | 39 | 47 | −8 |
| 8 |  San Diego Gulls |
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | .500 | 31 | 32 | −1 |
| 9 |  San Jose Barracuda |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 37 | 48 | −11 |
| 10 | Bakersfield Condors |
12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 9 | .375 | 28 | 35 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Bakersfield Condors host Calgary Wranglers in the AHL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.