Barys Astana vs Yekaterinburg prediction
Chance to win · 39% and 39% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostYekaterinburgodds up 2.32Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.31Confidence 72%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonBarys Astana +1.5odds down 1.28Confidence 70%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostYekaterinburgodds up 1.80Confidence 51%
- Double chanceLostYekaterinburg or drawodds up 1.46Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostYekaterinburgodds up 1.79Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.10Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDraw2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.19Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min4–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–021%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-0, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 26, 2026: Yekaterinburg 4, Barys Astana 1.
- Jan 12, 2026: Yekaterinburg 2, Barys Astana 1, after overtime.
- Dec 25, 2025: Barys Astana 1, Yekaterinburg 4.
- Dec 16, 2025: Yekaterinburg 1, Barys Astana 4.
- Nov 7, 2025: Barys Astana 3, Yekaterinburg 2, after overtime.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–3 against Novosibirsk, Oct 12. Odds: Barys Astana 1.98, Novosibirsk 3.10.
- Win, 5–1 against Avangard Omsk, Oct 10. Odds: Barys Astana 3.05, Avangard Omsk 2.00.
- Win, 4–3 at Spartak Moscow, after a shootout, Oct 4.
- Win, 5–4 at Niznekamsk, after overtime, Oct 2.
- Loss, 1–4 at Bars Kazan, Sep 30.
- Win, 4–0 against Avangard Omsk, Oct 6.
- Loss, 0–3 against Khabarovsk, Oct 4.
- Win, 3–0 against Khabarovsk, Oct 2.
- Win, 3–1 against Lada, Sep 30.
- Win, 4–2 at Spartak Moscow, Sep 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 10:13 Goal Barys Astana: Priskie C. assists: McCoshen I., Asetov A. 1-0
2nd period1-1
- 07:22 Goal Yekaterinburg: Kashtanov A. assists: Denezhkin M., Clague K. 1-1
- 18:42 Goal Barys Astana: Massie J. assists: Shestakov A., Kaiyrzhan D. 2-1
3rd period2-0
- 08:24 2 min Yekaterinburg: Gushchin D. Tripping
- 09:30 Goal PPG Barys Astana: Kaiyrzhan D. assists: Priskie C., Bailey J. 3-1
- 14:32 Goal Barys Astana: Omirbekov A. assists: Pilon G. 4-1
- 15:42 2 min Barys Astana: Simonov S. High sticking
- 18:02 2 min Yekaterinburg: Clague K. Hooking
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Yekaterinburg, 1 for Barys Astana.
- In goal: Shutov A. for Barys Astana (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts), Zinaddin L. for Yekaterinburg (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Yekaterinburg.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Yekaterinburg.
- 4.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BAR) | 2.45 | 2.45 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (YEK) | 2.37 | 2.37 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap BAR | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 38 | .760 | 87 | 57 | +30 | |
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 31 | .596 | 71 | 71 | 0 | |
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 26 | .520 | 72 | 73 | −1 | |
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 26 | .520 | 57 | 62 | −5 | |
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 26 | .500 | 60 | 63 | −3 | |
| 6 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 26 | .565 | 46 | 55 | −9 | |
| 7 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 46 | 38 | +8 | |
| 8 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 25 | .521 | 76 | 66 | +10 | |
| 9 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 62 | 58 | +4 | |
| 10 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 61 | 64 | −3 | |
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 22 | .423 | 58 | 77 | −19 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Barys Astana host Yekaterinburg in the KHL on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.