Basel vs Bellinzona Snakes prediction
Chance to win · 63% and 19% in regulation
Haller F.Started5-2-3
Beglieri A.Started3-6-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2WonBaselodds up 1.30Confidence 55%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.33Confidence 69%
- HandicapLostBasel -1.5odds up 1.70Confidence 53%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonBaselodds up 1.15Confidence 58%
- Double chanceWonBasel or drawodds up 1.12Confidence 65%
- Draw no betWonBaselodds up 1.16Confidence 60%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.10Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostBaselodds up 1.85Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.30Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 4% since they opened.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Basel 4–1
Bellinzona Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–16%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period1–120%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 2 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 2-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonBasel
Bellinzona Snakes
Head-to-head
Basel 4–1
Bellinzona - Sep 17, 2026: Bellinzona Snakes 5, Basel 4, after a shootout.
- Jan 24, 2026: Bellinzona Snakes 2, Basel 3, after overtime.
- Jan 13, 2026: Bellinzona Snakes 0, Basel 1.
- Dec 16, 2025: Basel 4, Bellinzona Snakes 2.
- Nov 18, 2025: Basel 7, Bellinzona Snakes 1.
Last five games
Basel
3-1-1 - Overtime loss, 3–4 at GCK Lions, after a shootout, Oct 13. Odds: GCK Lions 2.88, Basel 1.91.
- Win, 5–2 against Arosa, Oct 10. Odds: Basel 1.15, Arosa 10.00.
- Loss, 6–9 at Sierre, Oct 6.
- Win, 1–0 against Visp, after overtime, Oct 3.
- Win, 3–1 at Chur, Sep 29.
Bellinzona
1-3-1 - Overtime loss, 2–3 against La Chaux-de-Fonds, after overtime, Oct 13. Odds: Bellinzona 4.18, Chaux-de-Fonds 1.53.
- Loss, 2–3 at Olten, Oct 10. Odds: Olten 1.37, Bellinzona 5.70.
- Loss, 2–4 against Thurgau, Oct 6.
- Win, 3–1 at GCK Lions, Oct 3.
- Loss, 3–6 at Sierre, Sep 29.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 11:57 Goal PPG Basel: Barbei G. assists: Kummer D., Liniger L. 1-0
- 18:11 Goal Bellinzona Snakes: Moreno T. 1-1
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period1-0
- 17:46 Goal Basel: Hamr D. assists: Brugger S. 2-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Bellinzona Snakes coming into this game.
- 5-0-0 at home for Basel this season.
- In goal: Haller F. for Basel (5-2-3 in the last 10 starts), Beglieri A. for Bellinzona Snakes (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Basel.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BAS) | 1.32 | 1.46 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.70 | 5.20 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (BEL) | 6.80 | 4.90 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap BAS | −2.5 | −1.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Swiss League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sierre |
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 1.321 | 75 | 32 | +43 |
| 2 | Basel |
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 1.107 | 51 | 40 | +11 |
| 3 |  Visp |
12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 1.167 | 47 | 18 | +29 |
| 4 |  Olten |
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 24 | .857 | 60 | 49 | +11 |
| 5 |  La Chaux-de-Fonds |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 23 | .885 | 53 | 40 | +13 |
| 6 |  Thurgau |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 17 | .607 | 36 | 48 | −12 |
| 7 |  Chur |
14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 16 | .571 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 8 | Bellinzona Snakes |
14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 13 | .464 | 33 | 48 | −15 |
| 9 |  Arosa |
14 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 9 | .321 | 25 | 73 | −48 |
| 10 |  GCK Lions |
15 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 9 | .300 | 33 | 60 | −27 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Basel host Bellinzona Snakes in the Swiss League on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.