Basel vs Chur Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

O4.5 1.41

Confidence72%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%

Full game

1X2WonBaselodds down 2.20Confidence 57%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.41Confidence 72%
HandicapLostChur +1.5odds up 1.50Confidence 63%
Winner (incl. OT)WonBaselodds down 1.76Confidence 67%
Double chanceWonBasel or drawodds down 1.45Confidence 75%
Draw no betWonBaselodds down 1.44Confidence 70%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.06Confidence 87%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonBaselodds down 2.25Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.87Confidence 54%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Basel 32

Chur

Final 4–1

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 19% Decided in regulation

BAS to winTo win 65% BAS won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min4–14%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–08%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 2-0, 1-2, 0-0
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%)

Season so far

This season

Season

Season record9-2-25-7-1

Home / road split6-0-02-4-0

StreakL1W1

Rest9 days9 days

Goals for3.63.3

Goals against3.03.5

In the standings2nd7th

Head-to-head

Basel 23

Chur

Chur won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 4.4 BAS 2.0 · CHU 2.4

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 1 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Sep 29, 2026: Chur 1, Basel 3.
Dec 5, 2025: Chur 4, Basel 0.
Nov 9, 2025: Basel 1, Chur 2, after overtime.
Oct 26, 2025: Chur 3, Basel 2.
Sep 20, 2025: Basel 4, Chur 2.

Last five games

Basel 3-1-1

Loss, 3–6 at La Chaux-de-Fonds, Oct 31. Odds: Chaux-de-Fonds 1.57, Basel 4.00.
Win, 5–2 at Thurgau, Oct 24. Odds: Thurgau 1.70, Basel 3.55.
Win, 2–1 against Bellinzona Snakes, Oct 17. Odds: Basel 1.46, Bellinzona 4.90.
Overtime loss, 3–4 at GCK Lions, after a shootout, Oct 13. Odds: GCK Lions 2.88, Basel 1.91.
Win, 5–2 against Arosa, Oct 10. Odds: Basel 1.15, Arosa 10.00.

Chur 2-3-0

Win, 5–1 against Bellinzona Snakes, Oct 31. Odds: Chur 1.40, Bellinzona 5.60.
Loss, 4–5 at Thurgau, Oct 29. Odds: Thurgau 2.25, Chur 2.45.
Loss, 0–5 at Olten, Oct 24. Odds: Olten 2.35, Chur 2.25.
Win, 6–3 against GCK Lions, Oct 17. Odds: Chur 1.76, GCK Lions 3.33.
Loss, 2–3 at Visp, Oct 13. Odds: Visp 1.63, Chur 3.96.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

06:19 Goal Basel: Kummer D. assists: Fuss N. 1-0

2nd period2-0

00:29 Goal Basel: Fuss N. assists: Kummer D., Aeschlimann M. 2-0
07:01 Goal PPG Basel: Kummer D. assists: Supinski B., Liniger L. 3-0

3rd period1-1

02:28 Goal PPG Chur: Melnalksnis R. assists: Jenni T. 3-1
11:16 Goal PPG Basel: Schaub J. assists: Schlapfer E. 4-1

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Odds moved: the odds on Basel dropped from 1.73 to 1.50 since they were first published.
6-0-0 at home for Basel this season.
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Chur.
4.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
2nd vs 7th in the Swiss League standings.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (BAS)	1.91	1.83	Shortened
1X2: X (draw)	4.30	4.45	Drifted
1X2: 2 (CHU)	2.90	3.05	Drifted
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap BAS	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Swiss League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Sierre	14	13	1	0	37	1.321	75	32	+43
2	Basel	14	10	2	2	31	1.107	51	40	+11
3	Visp	12	9	0	3	28	1.167	47	18	+29
4	Olten	14	8	6	0	24	.857	60	49	+11
5	La Chaux-de-Fonds	13	8	5	0	23	.885	53	40	+13
6	Thurgau	14	6	7	1	17	.607	36	48	−12
7	Chur	14	5	8	1	16	.571	44	49	−5
8	Bellinzona Snakes	14	4	8	2	13	.464	33	48	−15
9	Arosa	14	3	11	0	9	.321	25	73	−48
10	GCK Lions	15	3	10	2	9	.300	33	60	−27

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Basel vs Chur prediction