Beibarys Atyrau vs Nomad Astana prediction
Chance to win · 10% and 77% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Full game
- 1X2WonNomad Astana1.18Confidence 74%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU7.51.45Confidence 73%
- HandicapLostNomad Astana -1.5Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonNomad Astana1.10Confidence 83%
- Double chanceWonNomad Astana or draw1.05Confidence 88%
- Draw no betWonNomad Astanaodds down 1.06Confidence 87%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.12Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonNomad Astanaodds down 1.61Confidence 55%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.58Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min2–37%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–114%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals32%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 1-4 (7%), 2-5 (5%), 1-5 (5%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Sep 24, 2026: Beibarys Atyrau 1, Nomad Astana 2.
- Sep 23, 2026: Beibarys Atyrau 1, Nomad Astana 3.
- Jan 22, 2026: Beibarys Atyrau 0, Nomad Astana 8.
- Oct 10, 2025: Beibarys Atyrau 1, Nomad Astana 2, after overtime.
- Oct 9, 2025: Beibarys Atyrau 3, Nomad Astana 6.
Last five games
- Loss, 0–5 against Kulager, Oct 17. Odds: Beibarys 4.70, Kulager 1.53.
- Win, 2–1 against Kulager, Oct 16. Odds: Beibarys 3.80, Kulager 1.63.
- Loss, 1–2 at Aktobe, Oct 13. Odds: Aktobe 3.70, Beibarys 1.68.
- Loss, 1–2 at Aktobe, Oct 12. Odds: Aktobe 3.76, Beibarys 1.63.
- Win, 5–3 against Almaty, Oct 7.
- Win, 5–4 at Aktobe, Oct 17. Odds: Aktobe 10.00, Nomad Astana 1.21.
- Win, 5–3 at Aktobe, Oct 16. Odds: Aktobe 8.10, Nomad Astana 1.21.
- Win, 4–2 at Kokshetau, Oct 11.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Kokshetau, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Kokshetau 2.20, Nomad Astana 2.20.
- Win, 3–2 at Torpedo, after a shootout, Oct 7.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 04:52 Goal PPG Nomad Astana: Gross A. assists: Kitarov T., Nikitin K. 0-1
2nd period2-1
- 03:57 Goal Nomad Astana: Migunov A. assists: Ruslanuly A. 0-2
- 06:46 Goal PPG Beibarys Atyrau: Shishov A. assists: Vanin D., Gusev A. 1-2
- 08:00 Goal Beibarys Atyrau: Gusseinov M. 2-2
3rd period0-1
- 00:56 Goal Nomad Astana: Merzlikin N. assists: Ruslanuly A., Migunov A. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Nomad Astana coming into this game.
- 2-8-0 at home for Beibarys Atyrau this season.
- 9-0-1 away for Nomad Astana this season.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Nomad Astana.
- 5.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BEI) | 9.80 | 9.80 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 6.30 | 6.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NOM) | 1.22 | 1.22 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap BEI | +2.5 | +2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Championship standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 44 | .846 | 138 | 46 | +92 | |
| 2 | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 42 | .840 | 102 | 61 | +41 | |
| 3 | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 41 | .788 | 97 | 58 | +39 | |
| 4 | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 38 | .731 | 108 | 60 | +48 | |
| 5 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 31 | .646 | 87 | 62 | +25 | |
| 6 | 26 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 29 | .558 | 90 | 68 | +22 | |
| 7 | 26 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 23 | .442 | 66 | 92 | −26 | |
| 8 | 26 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 13 | .250 | 69 | 117 | −48 | |
| 9 | 25 | 5 | 18 | 2 | 12 | .240 | 48 | 85 | −37 | |
| 10 | 24 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 1 | .021 | 31 | 187 | −156 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Beibarys Atyrau host Nomad Astana in the Championship on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.