Belfast vs Glasgow prediction
Chance to win · 74% and 11% in regulation
Kupsky J.StartedSV 94.5% · GAA 1.43 · 7-2-1
Tirronen R.StartedSV 88% · GAA 3.10 · 1-9-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Full game
- 1X2LostBelfastodds down 1.15Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU7.51.43Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostBelfast -1.5Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonBelfastodds up 1.05Confidence 78%
- Double chanceWonBelfast or draw1.03Confidence 81%
- Draw no betPushBelfast1.04Confidence 79%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostBelfastodds down 1.56Confidence 54%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.58Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Belfast 4–1
Glasgow Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min1–18%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–114%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (8%), 5-2 (6%), 5-1 (5%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 16+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formBelfast
Glasgow
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Belfast 3–2
Glasgow - Oct 23, 2026: Glasgow 0, Belfast 1.
- Oct 17, 2026: Belfast 4, Glasgow 1.
- Sep 27, 2026: Glasgow 4, Belfast 1.
- Sep 13, 2026: Glasgow 2, Belfast 3, after a shootout.
- Apr 12, 2026: Glasgow 3, Belfast 1, after a shootout.
Last five games
Belfast
3-2-0 - Win, 1–0 at Glasgow, Oct 23. Odds: Glasgow 3.80, Belfast 1.57.
- Loss, 2–3 at Fife, Oct 21. Odds: Fife 6.40, Belfast 1.30.
- Win, 5–4 at Manchester, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Manchester 4.00, Belfast 1.63.
- Win, 4–1 against Glasgow, Oct 17. Odds: Belfast 1.18, Glasgow 11.00.
- Loss, 2–5 at Cardiff, Oct 11. Odds: Cardiff 1.87, Belfast 3.20.
Glasgow
0-4-1 - Loss, 0–1 against Belfast, Oct 23. Odds: Glasgow 3.80, Belfast 1.57.
- Loss, 1–4 against Fife, Oct 18. Odds: Glasgow 2.25, Fife 2.29.
- Loss, 1–4 at Belfast, Oct 17. Odds: Belfast 1.18, Glasgow 11.00.
- Overtime loss, 5–6 against Dundee, after overtime, Oct 14. Odds: Glasgow 1.77, Dundee 3.11.
- Loss, 2–6 against Guildford, Oct 11.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 13:52 Goal PPG Glasgow: Messner M. assists: Neilson C. 0-1
2nd period1-0
- 00:26 Goal Belfast: Goodwin D. assists: Piccinich J., Lee M. 1-1
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Overtime1-0
- 01:24 Goal Belfast: Jensen M. assists: Conway S., Piccinich J. 2-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 9-game losing streak for Glasgow coming into this game.
- 5-0-0 at home for Belfast this season.
- In goal: Kupsky J. for Belfast (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts), Tirronen R. for Glasgow (1-9-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 2.5 per game — Belfast +0.8, Glasgow −1.7 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Belfast.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BEL) | 1.12 | 1.12 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 7.10 | 7.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (GLA) | 13.00 | 13.00 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap BEL | −3.5 | −3.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Challenge Cup standings
Regular Season · Group B
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Belfast host Glasgow in the Challenge Cup on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.