Belfast vs Guildford Prediction & Picks

Banker of the dayBanker Double chance Won

Belfast or draw 1.15

Confidence94%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%

Full game

1X2WonBelfastodds down 1.52Confidence 65%
Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.44Confidence 71%
HandicapWonBelfast -1.5odds down 1.67Confidence 53%
Winner (incl. OT)WonBelfastodds down 1.29Confidence 76%
Banker of the day: Double chanceWonBelfast or drawodds down 1.15Confidence 94%
Draw no betWonBelfastodds down 1.15Confidence 78%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.13Confidence 85%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostBelfastodds down 1.87Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.90Confidence 55%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Belfast 41

Guildford

Final 5–3

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 8

Draw after 60 minDraw 19% Decided in regulation

BEL to winTo win 74% BEL won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min5–37%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–011%chance
Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 5 goals27%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (6%), 4-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 17+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record5-1-04-2-1

Home / road split—1-2-0

StreakL1L2

Rest5 days5 days

Goals for3.23.9

Goals against1.84.3

In the standings2nd6th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+1.1−0.7

Goals for2.93.2

Goals against1.83.9

Shots on goal31.528.7

Shots against24.034.6

Shooting %9.2%11.1%

Save %92.9%88.7%

Power-play %21.2%11.8%

Penalty kill %86.2%74.4%

Faceoff %50.5%50.4%

Penalty minutes7.411.2

Blocked shots7.06.3

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Belfast 41

Guildford

Belfast won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.0 BEL 2.8 · GUI 2.2

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Nov 8, 2026: Belfast 4, Guildford 2.
Apr 4, 2026: Belfast 2, Guildford 6.
Jan 21, 2026: Guildford 1, Belfast 3.
Dec 13, 2025: Belfast 3, Guildford 2.
Dec 12, 2025: Belfast 2, Guildford 0.

Last five games

Belfast 4-0-1

Overtime loss, 2–3 at Fife, after a shootout, Nov 1. Odds: Fife 3.50, Belfast 1.70.
Win, 6–1 at Nottingham, Oct 30. Odds: Nottingham 2.40, Belfast 2.15.
Win, 4–1 at Cardiff, Oct 28. Odds: Cardiff 2.05, Belfast 2.65.
Win, 2–1 against Glasgow, after overtime, Oct 25. Odds: Belfast 1.12, Glasgow 13.00.
Win, 1–0 at Glasgow, Oct 23. Odds: Glasgow 3.80, Belfast 1.57.

Guildford 3-1-1

Overtime loss, 2–3 against Glasgow, after overtime, Nov 1. Odds: Guildford 1.61, Glasgow 3.80.
Loss, 1–6 at Cardiff, Oct 31. Odds: Cardiff 1.59, Guildford 3.60.
Win, 5–2 against Dundee, Oct 28. Odds: Guildford 1.33, Dundee 5.25.
Win, 5–3 at Coventry, Oct 25. Odds: Coventry 2.30, Guildford 2.30.
Win, 2–1 against Coventry, Oct 24. Odds: Guildford 1.92, Coventry 2.86.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

No goals or penalties.

2nd period2-1

03:46 Goal PPG Belfast: Conway S. assists: Lee M. 1-0
14:52 Goal Guildford: Gosselin M. assists: Sanford C. 1-1
17:19 Goal Belfast: Lee M. assists: Kawaguchi J., Guay N. 2-1

3rd period3-2

02:44 Goal PPG Belfast: Lee M. 3-1
08:19 Goal Guildford: Gosselin M. assists: Sanford C. 3-2
09:53 Goal Belfast: Goodwin D. assists: Conway S., Piccinich J. 4-2
10:16 Goal Belfast: Conway S. 5-2
18:23 Goal Guildford: Kallen N. assists: Gosselin M. 5-3

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Odds moved: the odds on Belfast dropped from 1.29 to 1.19 since they were first published.
Goal differential gap of 1.8 per game — Belfast +1.1, Guildford −0.7 over their recent games.
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Belfast.
4-0-1 in the last five for Belfast.
Save % gap: Belfast 92.9%, Guildford 88.7% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (BEL)	1.53	1.36	Shortened
1X2: X (draw)	4.75	5.50	Drifted
1X2: 2 (GUI)	4.00	5.25	Drifted
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap BEL	−1.5	−1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Elite League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Cardiff	9	7	1	1	15	.833	27	15	+12
2	Belfast	8	7	1	0	14	.875	28	16	+12
3	Sheffield	10	5	2	3	13	.650	34	26	+8
4	Coventry	8	6	2	0	12	.750	26	15	+11
5	Manchester	10	5	4	1	11	.550	25	26	−1
6	Guildford	9	4	4	1	9	.500	32	39	−7
7	Fife	8	3	4	1	7	.438	25	26	−1
8	Nottingham	6	3	3	0	6	.500	15	17	−2
9	Dundee	7	1	4	2	4	.286	14	28	−14
10	Glasgow	9	1	8	0	2	.111	12	30	−18

Playoffs

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Belfast vs Guildford prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details