Belleville Senators vs Lehigh Valley Phantoms prediction
Chance to win · 45% and 34% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonBellevilleodds up 2.15Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO5.5odds up 1.59Confidence 68%
- HandicapWonLehigh Valley +3.5Confidence 78%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonBelleville1.73Confidence 57%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonBelleville or drawodds up 1.42Confidence 69%
- Draw no betWonBellevilleodds up 1.77Confidence 60%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.07Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonBellevilleodds up 2.60Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.71Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost5–2After 60 min3–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-2
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 5-2 (4%), 4-2 (3%), 4-3 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 25, 2026: Lehigh Valley Phantoms 2, Belleville Senators 0.
- Jan 3, 2026: Belleville Senators 1, Lehigh Valley Phantoms 3.
- Oct 11, 2025: Lehigh Valley Phantoms 5, Belleville Senators 2.
- Mar 28, 2025: Belleville Senators 3, Lehigh Valley Phantoms 2.
- Jan 15, 2025: Lehigh Valley Phantoms 3, Belleville Senators 2.
Last five games
- Win, 4–1 against Toronto Marlies, Nov 1. Odds: Belleville 2.45, Toronto 2.20.
- Loss, 1–4 against Hartford Wolf Pack, Oct 30. Odds: Belleville 2.30, Hartford 2.35.
- Loss, 0–2 at Lehigh Valley Phantoms, Oct 25. Odds: Lehigh Valley 2.60, Belleville 2.10.
- Loss, 2–5 at Hershey Bears, Oct 24. Odds: Hershey 2.10, Belleville 2.60.
- Win, 7–3 at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, Oct 23. Odds: W-B/Scranton 2.05, Belleville 2.70.
- Win, 5–4 at Laval Rocket, after overtime, Nov 4. Odds: Laval 1.79, Lehigh Valley 3.30.
- Loss, 0–8 against Providence Bruins, Nov 1. Odds: Lehigh Valley 2.35, Providence 2.35.
- Loss, 3–6 at Rochester Americans, Oct 30. Odds: Rochester 2.20, Lehigh Valley 2.50.
- Win, 2–0 against Belleville Senators, Oct 25. Odds: Lehigh Valley 2.60, Belleville 2.10.
- Loss, 2–7 against Syracuse Crunch, Oct 24. Odds: Lehigh Valley 2.90, Syracuse 1.96.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 04:45 Goal Belleville Senators: Toure D. assists: Bourgault X., Boucher T. 1-0
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period2-1
- 00:18 Goal Lehigh Valley Phantoms: Gaucher J. assists: Grundstrom C., Klimovich D. 1-1
- 08:33 Goal Belleville Senators: Bourgault X. assists: Pettersson O., Daoust P. 2-1
- 09:26 Goal Belleville Senators: Ellinas L. 3-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Belleville Senators, 1 for Lehigh Valley Phantoms.
- 4-1-0 away for Lehigh Valley Phantoms this season.
- The total moved down from 6.5 to 5.5 since it was first published.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Lehigh Valley Phantoms.
- Save % gap: Belleville Senators 90.2%, Lehigh Valley Phantoms 84.1% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BEL) | 2.15 | 2.15 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.40 | 4.40 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (LVP) | 2.55 | 2.55 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 5.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap BEL | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · North Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 21 | .750 | 53 | 30 | +23 | |
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 18 | .818 | 35 | 24 | +11 | |
| 3 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | .607 | 44 | 41 | +3 | |
| 4 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 16 | .571 | 44 | 43 | +1 | |
| 5 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 42 | 32 | +10 | |
| 6 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 12 | .500 | 35 | 39 | −4 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 40 | 50 | −10 | |
| 8 | Hamilton Hammers | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 10 | .333 | 41 | 61 | −20 |
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19 | .633 | 46 | 42 | +4 | |
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 44 | 49 | −5 | |
| 3 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 38 | +4 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 47 | 37 | +10 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .429 | 47 | 43 | +4 | |
| 6 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 37 | 55 | −18 | |
| 7 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .423 | 32 | 46 | −14 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Belleville Senators host Lehigh Valley Phantoms in the AHL on Friday, November 6, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.