Belleville Senators vs Providence Bruins prediction
Chance to win · 31% and 47% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostProvidenceodds down 2.47Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.44Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostProvidence +1.5odds down 1.33Confidence 73%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostProvidenceodds down 1.61Confidence 61%
- Double chanceLostProvidence or drawodds down 1.48Confidence 70%
- Draw no betLostProvidenceodds down 1.90Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.09Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostProvidenceodds down 2.90Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.79Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Belleville 1–4
Providence Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min5–25%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 5 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (5%), 2-5 (4%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formBelleville Senators
Providence Bruins
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Belleville 0–5
Providence - Feb 20, 2026: Providence Bruins 5, Belleville Senators 2.
- Jan 23, 2026: Providence Bruins 2, Belleville Senators 1, after overtime.
- Nov 30, 2025: Belleville Senators 4, Providence Bruins 6.
- Nov 29, 2025: Belleville Senators 3, Providence Bruins 6.
- Apr 12, 2025: Providence Bruins 4, Belleville Senators 3, after overtime.
Last five games
Belleville
2-3-0 - Win, 3–1 against Lehigh Valley Phantoms, Nov 6. Odds: Belleville 2.15, Lehigh Valley 2.55.
- Win, 4–1 against Toronto Marlies, Nov 1. Odds: Belleville 2.45, Toronto 2.20.
- Loss, 1–4 against Hartford Wolf Pack, Oct 30. Odds: Belleville 2.30, Hartford 2.35.
- Loss, 0–2 at Lehigh Valley Phantoms, Oct 25. Odds: Lehigh Valley 2.60, Belleville 2.10.
- Loss, 2–5 at Hershey Bears, Oct 24. Odds: Hershey 2.10, Belleville 2.60.
Providence
4-1-0 - Win, 5–4 at Hamilton Hammers, Nov 6. Odds: Hamilton 2.90, Providence 1.96.
- Win, 8–0 at Lehigh Valley Phantoms, Nov 1. Odds: Lehigh Valley 2.35, Providence 2.35.
- Win, 7–6 at Springfield Thunderbirds, after overtime, Oct 30. Odds: Springfield 2.25, Providence 2.50.
- Win, 5–2 against Utica Comets, Oct 24. Odds: Providence 2.01, Utica 2.90.
- Loss, 0–2 at Hartford Wolf Pack, Oct 23. Odds: Hartford 2.25, Providence 2.50.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 13:51 Goal PPG Belleville Senators: Halttunen K. assists: Kyrou C., Daoust P. 1-0
2nd period3-2
- 00:42 Goal Providence Bruins: Locmelis D. assists: Duran R., Ivan I. 1-1
- 01:56 Goal Belleville Senators: Montgomery B. assists: Suzuki R., Toure D. 2-1
- 07:53 Goal Belleville Senators: Boucher T. assists: Bourgault X., Bakke Olsen E. 3-1
- 12:10 Goal Providence Bruins: Locmelis D. assists: Jokiharju H. 3-2
- 12:16 Goal Belleville Senators: Ellinas L. 4-2
3rd period1-0
- 04:45 Goal Belleville Senators: Montgomery B. assists: Pettersson O., Suzuki R. 5-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Belleville Senators and Providence Bruins played yesterday.
- 4-game winning streak for Providence Bruins coming into this game.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Providence Bruins.
- Goal differential gap of 1.0 per game — Belleville Senators +0.2, Providence Bruins +1.2 over their recent games.
- 7.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BEL) | 2.75 | 2.75 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PRO) | 2.05 | 2.05 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap BEL | −1.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · North Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Laval Rocket |
14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 21 | .750 | 53 | 30 | +23 |
| 2 |  Utica Comets |
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 18 | .818 | 35 | 24 | +11 |
| 3 |  Toronto Marlies |
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | .607 | 44 | 41 | +3 |
| 4 | Belleville Senators |
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 16 | .571 | 44 | 43 | +1 |
| 5 |  Rochester Americans |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 42 | 32 | +10 |
| 6 |  Syracuse Crunch |
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 12 | .500 | 35 | 39 | −4 |
| 7 |  Cleveland Monsters |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 40 | 50 | −10 |
| 8 | Hamilton Hammers | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 10 | .333 | 41 | 61 | −20 |
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Checkers |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 19 | .633 | 46 | 42 | +4 |
| 2 |  Hartford Wolf Pack |
17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 3 |  Hershey Bears |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 38 | +4 |
| 4 |  Wilkes-Barre/Scranton |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 47 | 37 | +10 |
| 5 | Providence Bruins |
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 12 | .429 | 47 | 43 | +4 |
| 6 |  Lehigh Valley Phantoms |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 37 | 55 | −18 |
| 7 |  Springfield Thunderbirds |
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 11 | .423 | 32 | 46 | −14 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Belleville Senators host Providence Bruins in the AHL on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.