Belleville Senators vs Toronto Marlies prediction
Chance to win · 34% and 44% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostTorontoodds down 2.50Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.32Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostToronto +1.5odds down 1.39Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostTorontoodds down 1.92Confidence 57%
- Double chanceLostToronto or drawodds down 1.54Confidence 68%
- Draw no betLostTorontoodds down 1.98Confidence 58%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.07Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostTorontoodds down 2.80Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.74Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Belleville 1–4
Toronto Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min4–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period2–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-5 (4%), 2-3 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formBelleville Senators
Toronto Marlies
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Belleville 2–3
Toronto - Oct 18, 2026: Toronto Marlies 2, Belleville Senators 4.
- Oct 17, 2026: Belleville Senators 4, Toronto Marlies 5, after overtime.
- Jan 10, 2026: Belleville Senators 6, Toronto Marlies 3.
- Jan 9, 2026: Toronto Marlies 6, Belleville Senators 1.
- Dec 26, 2025: Toronto Marlies 3, Belleville Senators 2.
Last five games
Belleville
2-3-0 - Loss, 1–4 against Hartford Wolf Pack, Oct 30. Odds: Belleville 2.30, Hartford 2.35.
- Loss, 0–2 at Lehigh Valley Phantoms, Oct 25. Odds: Lehigh Valley 2.60, Belleville 2.10.
- Loss, 2–5 at Hershey Bears, Oct 24. Odds: Hershey 2.10, Belleville 2.60.
- Win, 7–3 at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, Oct 23. Odds: W-B/Scranton 2.05, Belleville 2.70.
- Win, 4–2 at Toronto Marlies, Oct 18. Odds: Toronto 2.00, Belleville 2.62.
Toronto
2-2-1 - Win, 5–3 against Hershey Bears, Oct 30. Odds: Toronto 2.50, Hershey 2.20.
- Loss, 0–3 against Rockford IceHogs, Oct 25. Odds: Toronto 2.05, Rockford 2.75.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Rockford IceHogs, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Toronto 2.10, Rockford 2.71.
- Win, 4–1 against Hamilton Hammers, Oct 21. Odds: Toronto 2.20, Hamilton 2.50.
- Loss, 2–4 against Belleville Senators, Oct 18. Odds: Toronto 2.00, Belleville 2.62.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 10:43 Goal PPG Belleville Senators: Halttunen K. assists: Daoust P., Kyrou C. 1-0
- 10:59 Goal Belleville Senators: Montgomery B. assists: Suzuki R., Boucher T. 2-0
2nd period1-0
- 16:34 Goal PPG Belleville Senators: Halttunen K. assists: Daoust P., Suzuki R. 3-0
3rd period1-1
- 02:49 Goal PPG Belleville Senators: Halttunen K. assists: Kyrou C., Blais S. 4-0
- 05:06 Goal Toronto Marlies: Tverberg R. 4-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Belleville Senators coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Toronto Marlies dropped from 1.95 to 1.70 since they were first published.
- 1-3-2 at home for Belleville Senators this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Toronto Marlies.
- Save % gap: Belleville Senators 90.5%, Toronto Marlies 87.5% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BEL) | 2.45 | 2.45 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.40 | 4.40 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TOR) | 2.20 | 2.20 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap BEL | −1.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · North Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Laval Rocket |
14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 21 | .750 | 53 | 30 | +23 |
| 2 |  Utica Comets |
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 18 | .818 | 35 | 24 | +11 |
| 3 | Toronto Marlies |
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | .607 | 44 | 41 | +3 |
| 4 | Belleville Senators |
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 16 | .571 | 44 | 43 | +1 |
| 5 |  Rochester Americans |
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 42 | 32 | +10 |
| 6 |  Syracuse Crunch |
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 12 | .500 | 35 | 39 | −4 |
| 7 |  Cleveland Monsters |
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 12 | .462 | 40 | 50 | −10 |
| 8 | Hamilton Hammers | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 10 | .333 | 41 | 61 | −20 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Belleville Senators host Toronto Marlies in the AHL on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.