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Belleville Senators vs Utica Comets prediction

AHL Sunday, October 11, 2026Sun · Oct 11
HomeBelleville Senators7-5-24th in NorthWWLLW
Belleville Senators 2, Utica Comets 4 FT Puck drop 17:00 ET 1X2 2.031X2 2.94
Team 1st 2nd 3rd
BEL 0 1 1
UTI 0 3 1
CAA Arena (Belleville, ON) · USACAA Arena (Belleville, ON)
AwayUtica Comets9-2-02nd in NorthWWWWW
44%Belleville Senators win · 34% in regulationBEL Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22% 56%Utica Comets win · 44% in regulationUTI

Chance to win · 34% and 44% in regulation

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won
O4.5 1.40
Confidence69%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 60%

Full game

  • 1X2WonUticaodds up 2.88Confidence 51%
  • Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.51.40Confidence 69%
  • HandicapWonUtica +1.5odds up 1.42Confidence 64%
  • Winner (incl. OT)WonUticaodds up 2.18Confidence 53%
  • Double chanceWonUtica or drawodds up 1.68Confidence 65%
  • Draw no betWonUticaodds up 2.26Confidence 53%
  • Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 83%

1st period

  • 1st period 1X2LostUticaodds up 3.15Confidence 51%
  • 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.83Confidence 54%
How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 2 games; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Belleville 14 Utica
Final 2–4
Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 6
Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Decided in regulation
UTI to winTo win 56% UTI won

Score details

  • Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min2–44%chance
  • 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–07%chance
  • Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
  • After 60 minutes 1-4
  • By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
  • Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-5 (4%), 2-3 (4%)

Belleville Senators host Utica Comets in the AHL on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.