Bellinzona Snakes vs Arosa prediction
Chance to win · 70% and 15% in regulation
Jaafri-Hayani N.Started4-4-2
Simeoni D.Started1-7-2All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Full game
- 1X2LostBellinzonaodds down 1.61Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.32Confidence 72%
- HandicapLostBellinzona -1.51.92Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostBellinzonaodds down 1.37Confidence 80%
- Double chanceLostBellinzona or drawConfidence 85%
- Draw no betLostBellinzonaConfidence 82%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostBellinzonaConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.78Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Bellinzona 4–1
Arosa Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–46%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–111%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonBellinzona Snakes
Arosa
Head-to-head
Bellinzona 4–1
Arosa - Sep 19, 2026: Bellinzona Snakes 4, Arosa 2.
- Feb 15, 2026: Bellinzona Snakes 5, Arosa 0.
- Dec 30, 2025: Arosa 4, Bellinzona Snakes 3.
- Dec 14, 2025: Arosa 5, Bellinzona Snakes 6, after overtime.
- Nov 27, 2025: Bellinzona Snakes 3, Arosa 0.
Last five games
Bellinzona
0-3-2 - Overtime loss, 3–4 at Visp, after overtime, Oct 20. Odds: Visp 1.20, Bellinzona 10.00.
- Loss, 1–2 at Basel, Oct 17. Odds: Basel 1.46, Bellinzona 4.90.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against La Chaux-de-Fonds, after overtime, Oct 13. Odds: Bellinzona 4.18, Chaux-de-Fonds 1.53.
- Loss, 2–3 at Olten, Oct 10. Odds: Olten 1.37, Bellinzona 5.70.
- Loss, 2–4 against Thurgau, Oct 6.
Arosa
1-4-0 - Loss, 3–10 at Olten, Oct 20. Odds: Olten 1.30, Arosa 6.30.
- Loss, 0–4 against Olten, Oct 17. Odds: Arosa 4.75, Olten 1.48.
- Loss, 1–4 against Thurgau, Oct 13. Odds: Arosa 4.07, Thurgau 1.57.
- Loss, 2–5 at Basel, Oct 10. Odds: Basel 1.15, Arosa 10.00.
- Win, 4–3 against GCK Lions, Oct 6.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 15:48 Goal SHG Arosa: Christen L. assists: Vlcek T. 0-1
2nd period0-2
- 07:27 Goal PPG Arosa: Krakauskas E. assists: Warmbrodt N. Y., Weber G. 0-2
- 12:32 Goal Arosa: Orlov M. assists: Muller S. 0-3
3rd period2-1
- 00:01 Goalie change Bellinzona Snakes: Feuz A. replaces Jaafri-Hayani N.
- 02:03 Goal Bellinzona Snakes: Schenk L. assists: Marchetti I. 1-3
- 03:14 Goal Arosa: Weber G. assists: Sauser F. 1-4
- 14:18 Goal Bellinzona Snakes: Conceprio A. assists: Forget J. 2-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Bellinzona Snakes coming into this game.
- 4-game losing streak for Arosa coming into this game.
- 1-5-0 away for Arosa this season.
- In goal: Jaafri-Hayani N. for Bellinzona Snakes (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts), Simeoni D. for Arosa (1-7-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Bellinzona Snakes.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BEL) | 1.60 | 1.53 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.60 | 4.75 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (ARO) | 4.00 | 4.40 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap BEL | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Swiss League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sierre |
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 1.321 | 75 | 32 | +43 |
| 2 |  Basel |
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 1.107 | 51 | 40 | +11 |
| 3 |  Visp |
12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 1.167 | 47 | 18 | +29 |
| 4 |  Olten |
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 24 | .857 | 60 | 49 | +11 |
| 5 |  La Chaux-de-Fonds |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 23 | .885 | 53 | 40 | +13 |
| 6 |  Thurgau |
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 17 | .607 | 36 | 48 | −12 |
| 7 |  Chur |
14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 16 | .571 | 44 | 49 | −5 |
| 8 | Bellinzona Snakes |
14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 13 | .464 | 33 | 48 | −15 |
| 9 | Arosa |
14 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 9 | .321 | 25 | 73 | −48 |
| 10 |  GCK Lions |
15 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 9 | .300 | 33 | 60 | −27 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Bellinzona Snakes host Arosa in the Swiss League on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.