Bemidji State Beavers vs Minnesota State Mavericks prediction
Chance to win · 42% and 35% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2Bemidji State3.30Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderU6.51.35Confidence 73%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapBemidji State +2.51.28Confidence 78%
- Winner (incl. OT)Bemidji StateConfidence 55%
- Double chanceBemidji State or draw1.95Confidence 65%
- Draw no betBemidji State2.60Confidence 53%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)Yes1.12Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2DrawConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderU1.5Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Bemidji State 4–1
Minnesota State Score details
- Correct score4–14%chance
- 1st period correct score0–022%chance
- Highest scoring period3rd period30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 0-0, 2-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonBemidji State Beavers
Minnesota State Mavericks
Head-to-head
Bemidji State 2–3
Minnesota State - Feb 14, 2026: Minnesota State Mavericks 0, Bemidji State Beavers 1, after overtime.
- Feb 13, 2026: Minnesota State Mavericks 1, Bemidji State Beavers 0.
- Mar 15, 2025: Minnesota State Mavericks 4, Bemidji State Beavers 0.
- Mar 1, 2025: Minnesota State Mavericks 5, Bemidji State Beavers 1.
- Feb 28, 2025: Minnesota State Mavericks 1, Bemidji State Beavers 2, after a shootout.
Last five games
Bemidji State
2-3-0 - Loss, 3–5 at Bowling Green Falcons, Nov 7. Odds: Bowling Green 1.57, Bemidji State 4.00.
- Loss, 2–5 at Bowling Green Falcons, Nov 6. Odds: Bowling Green 1.67, Bemidji State 3.70.
- Win, 5–4 against Ferris State Bulldogs, after a shootout, Oct 31. Odds: Bemidji State 1.75, Ferris State 3.40.
- Win, 6–1 against Ferris State Bulldogs, Oct 30. Odds: Bemidji State 1.95, Ferris State 2.95.
- Loss, 0–3 against Minnesota Duluth Bulldogs, Oct 24. Odds: Bemidji State 6.00, Minn. Duluth 1.36.
Minnesota State
3-1-1 - Win, 3–0 at Northern Michigan Wildcats, Nov 7. Odds: N. Michigan 3.85, Minnesota State 1.60.
- Loss, 1–2 at Northern Michigan Wildcats, Nov 6. Odds: N. Michigan 4.60, Minnesota State 1.53.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Lake Superior State Lakers, after a shootout, Oct 31. Odds: Minnesota State 1.40, Lake Superior 5.50.
- Win, 3–2 against Lake Superior State Lakers, after a shootout, Oct 30. Odds: Minnesota State 1.50, Lake Superior 4.25.
- Win, 2–0 against St. Thomas Tommies, Oct 24. Odds: Minnesota State 2.30, St. Thomas 2.45.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Minnesota State Mavericks.
- +1.0 goals at home — Bemidji State Beavers averaged 3.2 at home and 2.3 away this season.
- 3.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 5th vs 1st in the NCAA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BSB) | 2.90 | 3.00 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.90 | 3.90 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MSM) | 1.95 | 1.92 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap BSB | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · CCHA
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota State Mavericks |
30 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 105 | 1.750 | 0 |
| 2 |  Michigan Tech Huskies |
32 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 1.406 | 0 |
| 3 |  Bowling Green Falcons |
30 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 101 | 1.683 | 0 |
| 4 |  Ferris State Bulldogs |
29 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75 | 1.293 | 0 |
| 5 | Bemidji State Beavers |
30 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 1.350 | 0 |
| 6 |  Northern Michigan Wildcats |
28 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 1.393 | 0 |
| 7 |  St. Thomas Tommies |
31 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 75 | 1.210 | 0 |
| 8 |  Lake Superior State Lakers |
30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 61 | 1.017 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Bemidji State Beavers host Minnesota State Mavericks in the NCAA on Friday, November 13, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.