Bern vs Lausanne prediction
Chance to win · 46% and 31% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonBern2.00Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.42Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonLausanne +1.51.40Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonBernodds up 1.64Confidence 59%
- Double chanceWonBern or draw1.38Confidence 69%
- Draw no betWonBern1.60Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.11Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostBernodds down 2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.23Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreWon3–2After 60 min3–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period1–118%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Jan 24, 2026: Bern 3, Lausanne 1.
- Dec 22, 2025: Lausanne 2, Bern 3, after overtime.
- Oct 17, 2025: Bern 0, Lausanne 2.
- Sep 28, 2025: Lausanne 6, Bern 3.
- Jan 24, 2025: Lausanne 5, Bern 4, after overtime.
Last five games
- Win, 2–1 at Ambri-Piotta, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 2.42, Bern 2.42.
- Win, 4–2 against Biel, Oct 9. Odds: Bern 1.80, Biel 3.35.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Rapperswil-Jona, after overtime, Oct 3.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Servette, after a shootout, Oct 2.
- Loss, 2–5 at Fribourg, Sep 29.
- Win, 6–3 against Ajoie, Oct 14. Odds: Lausanne 1.42, Ajoie 5.93.
- Win, 4–1 at Rapperswil-Jona, Oct 10. Odds: Rapperswil 2.40, Lausanne 2.40.
- Loss, 2–5 against Lugano, Oct 7.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Zurich, after overtime, Oct 3.
- Win, 7–4 against Biel, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 06:22 Goal Bern: Abols R. assists: Balestra N., Marchon M. 1-0
- 09:58 2 min Lausanne: — Too many men on the ice
- 09:58 2 min Bern: Milano S. Elbowing
- 19:33 Goal Lausanne: Carrick C. assists: Riat D., Lazar C. 1-1
2nd period0-1
- 13:04 2 min Bern: Abols R. Slashing
- 17:10 Goal Lausanne: Riat D. assists: Suomela A., Carrick C. 1-2
- 18:23 2 min Lausanne: — Too many men on the ice
- 18:23 2 min Bern: Dionicio R. High sticking
3rd period2-0
- 00:54 Goal Bern: Lehmann M. assists: Dionicio R. 2-2
- 03:32 2 min Lausanne: — Too many men on the ice
- 04:08 Goal PPG Bern: Baumgartner B. assists: Abols R., Dionicio R. 3-2
- 12:24 2 min Bern: Hughes C. Delay of game
- 15:28 2 min Bern: Dionicio R. Interference
- 16:58 2 min Lausanne: Simic A. Interference
- 19:19 2 min Lausanne: Baragano I. Holding the stick
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Bern, 1 for Lausanne.
- In goal: Hughes C. for Bern (3-2-5 in the last 10 starts), Huet E. for Lausanne (4-6-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Lausanne.
- −1.7 goals away — Lausanne averaged 4.2 at home and 2.5 away this season.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BER) | 2.09 | 2.09 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.17 | 4.17 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (LAU) | 2.92 | 2.92 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap BER | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
National League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 47 | 1.306 | 75 | 38 | +37 | |
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 57 | 53 | +4 | |
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 32 | .842 | 49 | 55 | −6 | |
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 66 | 56 | +10 | |
| 5 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 1.077 | 49 | 27 | +22 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 28 | .824 | 46 | 47 | −1 | |
| 7 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | .750 | 57 | 44 | +13 | |
| 8 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 26 | .650 | 59 | 69 | −10 | |
| 9 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25 | .658 | 58 | 64 | −6 | |
| 10 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 45 | 55 | −10 | |
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 23 | .639 | 57 | 60 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 22 | .611 | 56 | 62 | −6 | |
| 13 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 50 | 69 | −19 | |
| 14 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 18 | .474 | 44 | 69 | −25 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Promotion - Playoffs
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Bern host Lausanne in the National League on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.