Bern vs Zug Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Lost

U6.5 1.33

Confidence71%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Full game

1X2LostBernodds down 2.22Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.33Confidence 71%
HandicapWonZug +1.51.38Confidence 64%
Winner (incl. OT)LostBernodds down 1.80Confidence 53%
Double chanceLostBern or drawodds down 1.44Confidence 66%
Draw no betLostBernodds down 1.72Confidence 54%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.12Confidence 85%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonDrawodds down 2.65Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.20Confidence 79%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 4% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Bern 32

Zug

Final 1–8

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 9

Draw after 60 minDraw 24% Decided in regulation

BER to winTo win 53% ZUG won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–84%chance
1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–022%chance
Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 5 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record9-4-38-3-1

Home / road split4-2-25-3-1

StreakW1W2

RestBack-to-backBack-to-back

Goals for2.83.4

Goals against2.42.2

In the standings6th5th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.7+0.6

Goals for2.73.0

Goals against2.02.4

Shots on goal31.730.9

Shots against27.624.3

Shooting %8.5%9.7%

Save %92.8%90.1%

Power-play %13.6%13.5%

Penalty kill %82.5%73.7%

Faceoff %51.7%52.4%

Penalty minutes8.89.3

Blocked shots12.317.6

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Bern 23

Zug

Zug won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 4.2 BER 1.6 · ZUG 2.6

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in a shootout

Mar 5, 2026: Bern 2, Zug 1, after a shootout.
Nov 25, 2025: Zug 4, Bern 2.
Oct 11, 2025: Bern 3, Zug 0.
Sep 9, 2025: Zug 3, Bern 0.
Jan 17, 2025: Bern 1, Zug 5.

Last five games

Bern 3-2-0

Win, 4–1 at Ajoie, Oct 30. Odds: Ajoie 3.10, Bern 2.05.
Loss, 1–4 against Zurich, Oct 27. Odds: Bern 2.70, Zurich 2.11.
Win, 2–1 against Lugano, after overtime, Oct 25. Odds: Bern 1.80, Lugano 3.50.
Win, 4–1 at Davos, Oct 23. Odds: Davos 1.87, Bern 3.30.
Loss, 1–3 against Langnau Tigers, Oct 20. Odds: Bern 1.83, Langnau 3.00.

Zug 4-1-0

Win, 3–2 against Langnau Tigers, Oct 30. Odds: Zug 1.77, Langnau 3.50.
Win, 7–2 against Lugano, Oct 27. Odds: Zug 1.77, Lugano 3.60.
Loss, 0–5 at Biel, Oct 24. Odds: Biel 2.56, Zug 2.23.
Win, 4–1 against Lausanne, Oct 23. Odds: Zug 1.91, Lausanne 3.10.
Win, 2–1 at Ajoie, Oct 17. Odds: Ajoie 3.25, Zug 1.65.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

18:44 2 min Bern: Rhyn N. High sticking

2nd period0-4

05:35 Goal Zug: Antenen R. N. assists: Gredig R., Riva E. 0-1
11:50 2 min Bern: Abols R. Interference
12:35 Goal PPG Zug: Kovar J. assists: Rohrer V., Kubalik D. 0-2
13:10 Goal Zug: Hofmann G. assists: Senteler S., Moverare J. 0-3
17:04 Goal Zug: Tatar T. assists: Wingerli A., Kovar J. 0-4

3rd period1-4

00:36 Goal Zug: Sklenicka D. 0-5
01:11 2 min Bern: Barandun D. Slashing
01:49 Goal PPG Zug: Tatar T. assists: Hofmann G., Senteler S. 0-6
02:55 2 min Bern: Hughes C. Tripping
04:24 Goal PPG Zug: Hofmann G. assists: Tatar T., Senteler S. 0-7
04:24 Goalie change Bern: von Burg C. replaces Hughes C.
05:34 Goal Bern: Merela W. assists: Aaltonen M., Grossniklaus J. 1-7
09:37 Goal Zug: Rohrer V. assists: Wey L., Kubalik D. 1-8
12:43 2 min Zug: Antenen R. N. Hooking

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Second game in two days for both teams — Bern and Zug played yesterday.
In goal: Hughes C. for Bern (5-1-4 in the last 10 starts), Genoni L. for Zug (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts).
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Zug.
4-1-0 in the last five for Zug.
Save % gap: Bern 92.8%, Zug 90.1% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (BER)	2.25	2.25	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.20	4.20	No change
1X2: 2 (ZUG)	2.60	2.60	No change
Over/Under line	5	5	No change
Handicap BER	−1.5	−0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

National League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Zurich	18	17	1	0	47	1.306	75	38	+37
2	Ambri-Piotta	18	11	5	2	33	.917	57	53	+4
3	Servette	19	11	6	2	32	.842	49	55	−6
4	Langnau Tigers	19	9	7	3	29	.763	66	56	+10
5	Zug	13	9	3	1	28	1.077	49	27	+22
6	Bern	17	9	5	3	28	.824	46	47	−1
7	Fribourg	18	9	7	2	27	.750	57	44	+13
8	Lausanne	20	9	10	1	26	.650	59	69	−10
9	Ajoie	19	9	8	2	25	.658	58	64	−6
10	Davos	19	8	9	2	24	.632	45	55	−10
11	Biel	18	7	9	2	23	.639	57	60	−3
12	Lugano	18	7	9	2	22	.611	56	62	−6
13	Rapperswil-Jona	19	6	10	3	19	.500	50	69	−19
14	EHC Kloten	19	6	12	1	18	.474	44	69	−25

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Promotion - Playoffs
Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Bern vs Zug prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details